Thursday, November 29, 2012

Fantasy Football Playoff Picture

Two games left in the fantasy season.  Let's see where everyone stands right now.

1st and 2nd get first round byes in the playoffs.

1st Joe

4th Jim
5th John

3rd Rob
6th Folden

2nd Adam

So what's the chances things end up this way? and what's the chances that people out of the playoff picture make their way into it.  Let's take a look at the next two weeks

1. Joe 8-4 (Munez, Andrew)
2. Adam 7-5 (John, Colin)
3. Rob 7-5 (Folden, Munez)
4. Jim 6-6 (Andrew, Shawn)
5. John 6-6 (Adam, Folden)
6. Folden 6-6 (Rob, John)
7. Colin 6-6 (Shawn, Adam)
8. Shawn 5-7 (Colin, Jim)
9. Munez 5-7 (Joe, Rob)
10. Andrew 4-8 (Jim, Joe)

So, where do we stand then as far as the playoffs go?

(8-4) Joe is guaranteed a playoff spot at this point.  All he needs to clinch is for either Jim, John, Folden, or Colin to lose or tie one more game.  John & Folden play each other in the last week of the season, so it's locked up for him.  It's just a matter of positioning now.

(7-5) For Rob & I, at 7-5, we are in a similar position.  All we need to do is win one of our remaining two games, and the result of the John vs Folden game next week will lock us into a playoff spot as well.

(6-6) Jim & John - The two of them hold a point advantage over the other 6-6 teams in the league, Colin & Folden.  One more win should be able to get them a playoff spot, but that's conditional on them not putting up any dud weeks the rest of the season.

(6-6) Folden & Colin - These two are in a little more difficult of a spot, but Folden can really help himself by beating John next week.  Folden and Colin could both find themselves in a spot where they are tied for 6th and lose the tie breaker by points.  7 wins will be the bottom rung win total to make it into the playoffs.

All seven of the teams ahead control their own destiny for playoffs, so let's check out the 3 teams that need some help.

5-7 Shawn & Munez:  Shawn plays Colin & Jim, Munez plays Joe and Rob, who are both in front of him for the playoffs.  Beating both of them doesn't guarentee either of them a playoff spot though, so they'll both need to win out and hope for a little bit of help from myself & Rob

4-8 Andrew  Is there anyway he can still make it?  Let's set up a scenario.  If Andrew beats Jim he'll be 5-8.  That will make Jim 6-7.  If Shawn then beat Jim that would make Jim 6-8.  If Folden lost to both Rob & John that would make him 6-8.  If Colin lost to Shawn and me that would make him 6-8.  If Munez lost either game that would make him 6-8.

So, basically, Andrew can still make the playoffs but a lot of stuff has to happen for that to happen.  Here is the scenario for this week

Andrew beat Jim
Shawn beat Colin
Folden or John lose

If each of those things happens this week, Andrew will have a chance still to make the playoffs.

WEEK 13 PREVIEW

Joe (8-4) vs Munez (5-7)

Munez is projected to put up twenty points less than Joe this week.  Joe's QB plays tonight though so we should know where they stand after today about where things could go.  One thing for sure, Munez really needs to win this week to stay in contention for the playoffs.  Going to go with Joe though this week.

Andrew (4-8) vs Jim (6-6)

Andrew & Jim have been the most hard luck of the teams in fantasy this year.  They consistently put up good scores most of the year, only to be undercut by moster weeks.  Their projections are very evenly matched this week.  I'm going to pick Andrew in an upset here, only to keep things a little more interesting come next week. UPSET OF THE WEEK

Adam (7-5) vs John (6-6)

John is projected to blow me out, which I think is going to happen LOCK OF THE WEEK.

Folden (6-6) vs Rob (7-5)
Folden's team is a make shift of little engine's that could.  He's projected to lose by 20 to Rob, but I think Folden picks up the win.

Game of the week

Colin (6-6) vs Shawn (5-7)

I like this game so much.  A lot of how open the playoff picture is next week depends on the game here. I like Shawn's matchups better, so I'm picking him to beat Colin and open up the playoff race big time for the last week.




Monday, November 26, 2012

New Football God Update

What's up negros.  Lots of stuff to update today.  So let's start with new Red Outs

RED  OUTS

Ok, guys.  So, I'll start with the biggest update of last week as far as predictions go.

Michigan lost & Nebraska won, meaning that it's going to be Nebraska vs Wisconsin for the Big 10 championship.  That leaves myself and Andrew as the only two people with a chance to get points from that conference.

Also the SEC championship is Georgia vs Alabama.  What that means is this.  If Alabama wins, Colin will get points for having Alabama winning the SEC and for making the national championship.  Rob will also get points for Bama winning the SEC.  If Georgia wins, then John and I will get points for them winning the SEC & for making the National Championship.

Also, in the Big 12, if Kansas St wins, then the people who have Oklahoma winning the Big 12 are out.  If Kansas St wins and Oklahoma wins, they get the points.

In the NFL 6 of the 8 divisions are nearly clinched.  the NFC North & NFC East are still close enough not to call yet.

Keep in mind, none of these are for sure yet, but all 6 of these are very likely to happen.  San Fran, Houston, Denver, NE, Atlanta, & Baltimore all have 3 game leads on their divisions with 5 to play.  Let's look at where we each stand there.

Shawn 4 of 6
Jim 4 of 6
Folden 5 of 6
Adam 6 of 6
Andrew 5 of 6
Joe 6 of 6
John 4 of 6
Rob 6 of 6
Colin 6 of 6
Munez 5 of 6

As you can see, we all are on pace to have at least 4 division champs each.  The Giants have a 2 game lead in their division and the Bears have a 1 game lead.  We'll see how those look in the next couple of weeks.

Also, I have temporarily REDDED out all of the people who had the Bills, Jets, Chargers, & Lions in the playoffs.

I have completely REDDED out the people with the Eagles and the Panthers in the playoffs

PICK 'EM

Keep in mind, that the winners of each of the pick 'ems receive a 30 point bonus.  Munez has a 4 point lead in the college pick'em with only 10 games on the slate this week.  Looks pretty good that it'll be him winning it.

I know I'm going to have a tough time picking the Oregon St v Nicholls game, which has no spread...jeesh.

in the Bonus, Andrew takes it down for the 3rd week in a row.  If there is one way to make up for shitty fantasy luck, it's by doing well in the pick 'em.  Andrew is one behind Rob who has 92 points in the Pro Pick'em, with Colin, myself, and Shawn in striking distance.

FANTASY

In fantasy this week, we can consider this moving week.  In a tight fantasy league, every game is a big one, and this week is no different.  Joe moved to 8-4, and is alone in first place.  Rob's 7 game winning streak is over.  John's 5 game losing streak is over too.  Let's take a look at the standings.

Joe 8-4
Adam 7-5
Rob 7-5
Jim 6-6
Folden 6-6
John 6-6
Colin 6-6
Shawn 5-7
Munez 5-7
Andrew 4-8

At this point it looks like the playoffs may be out of it for Andrew.  For the 2nd year in a row, our fantasy football league has been insanely competitive.  To give you an idea, I can only speak for my own team, because I pay more attention to that than anything else.  But, in a 4 week period I went from 3rd to 8th to 5th to 2nd.  It's bizzare to see that much of a swing.

TOTALS

So, before we get into it, I want to get into what we  will see next week.  We will see the prediction results for all of the BCS games, Conference games, National Championship game, and College Pick'em Bonus.

Every year we have that one week, where things just get turned upside down.  Next week is that week.  So, here are the points and positions for now.

College pick'em+Pro Pick'em+ Fantasy points+(bonus)+predicitons=Total

Munez 149+73+50+(25)=297
Jim 145+77+60+(10)=292
Adam 143+86+70+(20)=319
Colin 141+88+60+(10)=299
Shawn 141+87+50+(35)=313
Andrew 135+91+40+(30)+20=316
Folden 134+82+60=276
Joe 125+83+80+(10)=298
John 117+76+60=253
Rob 113+92+70+(10)=285

RANKINGS/ + or - from last week/ points back from first

1. Adam 319 (+1)
2. Andrew 316 (+1) (3 points back)
3. Shawn 313 (- 2) (6 points back)
4. Colin 299  (+3) (20 points back)
5. Joe 298 (+2) (21 points back)
6. Munez 297 (-2) (22 points back)
7. Jim 292 (-3) (27 points back)
8. Rob 285 (- 2) (34 points back)
9. Folden 276 (=) (43 points back)
10. John 253 (=) (66 points back)

So, after all of this time, 66 points is the difference between first and last.  I'll enjoy my time at the top, because next Sunday night, things are going to go BANANAS!





Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Football God update Week ????

not sure what week we're on.  Sorry guys.  But I'm going to give everyone a scoring update before we hit up Thanksgiving.

First, BIG UPS

Big Ups to Jim for putting up a god damn 28 spot in pick 'em this week, earning himself a 10 point bonus.

Big ups to Andrew for winning the previous 2 pick 'em bonus's, and also winning his fantasy game, and also getting the first prediction correct.

Fantasy Football

In fantasy this week, we had 3 games that came down to the second half of the Monday night game.  That's exciting.  Andrew took John by a few points, I bet Munez by 1 point, and Jim beat Colin by less than 1.  Let's check out our standings.

Joe 7-4
Rob 7-4
Jim 6-5
Folden 6-5
Adam 6-5
John 5-6
Voyten 5-6
Colin 5-6
Andrew 4-7
Munez 4-7

So, there is a little bit more disparity than there had been for awhile, however I want to make a couple of points here about our league.

Rob is 7-4 after starting 0-4
John is 5-6 after starting 5-1

In a selfish note, i feel compelled to explain some irony.  Munez traded Vernon Davis to me, who hadn't done shit, for 6 weeks for me.  I think 10 points total.  Then he puts up a huge performance, in route to me missing munez by one point.  to end my 3 game losing streak.

Total Scores

College pick'em + pro pick 'em + fantasy football + bonus + predictions

Munez 142+68+40+(25)= 275
Adam 135+80+60+(20)= 295
Jim 134+71+60+(10)=275
Shawn 131+81+50+(35)= 297
Colin 129+83+50+(10)=272
Andrew 125+82+40+(20)+20=287
Folden 123+75+60=258
Joe 116+76+70+(10)=272
John 109+70+50=229
Rob 107+85+70+(10)= 272

So, now let's look at our standings.  Keep in mind it's been two weeks since our last update, so these standings may be way different than last time.

1.Shawn 297 (=)
2. Adam 295 (=)
3. Andrew 287 (+5)
t4. Munez 275 (-1)
t4. Jim 275 (+5)
t6. Joe 272 (-1)
t6. Rob 272 (=)
t6. Colin 272 (-2)
9. Folden 258 (-2)
10. John 229 (=)

TRENDS

Andrew jumps five spots, mostly from him getting the first prediction correct.

Jim jumps 5 spots, mainly from having a pretty badass last two weeks, in which he increased his score about 75 points.

1st to 8th place is separated by only 25 points.

Shawn and I have been in the top 2 spots for most of the year.

Have a good thanksgiving cock suckers.


Sunday, November 18, 2012

Updated College Pics

Hey fellas.  Sorry there wasn't any updates last week.

After my fantasy team put up their 3rd consecutive duck, I decided to spend the entire week on the shitter, eating my fingers...I'll give you an update on scores this week though.

Congrats to Andrew on last week, he did so well in the pick 'ems that the were decided before the Sunday night game even occured.  So, i'll do up dates on the pros tomorrow. But for now I want to go through some new red outs that I did on people's  college pics.

In parenthesis will be the amount of Conferences each person is still able to win, as we go through the list.

WAC

So, ladies and germs, the first prediction of the year is in, and it's all Andrews.

Utah St will win the WAC giving Andrew a 20 point bonus.

ACC

Adam, Folden, Shawn, and Joe are all out of it with our picks of Va Tech and Clemson.

Still in it:  Munez, Colin, Rob, Andrew (2), John, and Jim with Florida State

Big East:

Out of it: Folden (Pitt), John (S. Fl), Voyten & Colin (Cinci)
Still in it:  Adam, Munez (2), Rob (2), Joe, Jim (2), Andrew (3) all with Louisville.

Louisville plays Rutgers on the last Thursday of the month, which is essentially a conference championship game.

Big 10

Out of it: John (Mich St)
Still in it: Adam (2), Andrew (4), Both with Wisconsin
Voyten, Joe (2), Jim (3), FoAlden, Rob (3), Colin (2), Munez (3),

The Big 10 championship is going to be Wisconsin vs either Michigan or Nebraska.  For Michigan to win it though, they would need to beat undefeated Ohio St, and hope for Nebraska would lose to Iowa as well.  So, Michigan not looking great, but still in it.

PAC 12

We all picked USC and we all lost.

Big 12

Still in it: Andrew (5), Rob (4), Colin (3), Munez (4) with Oklahoma

For Oklahoma to win the Big 12, they would need to beat Oklahoma St and hope for Kansas St to lose to Texas

SEC

Still in it:

Adam (3), John (2) with Georgia
Rob (5), and Colin (4) with Alabama.

They play each other in the SEC championship in two weeks.  We'll have to wait and see.

Still in it: NOBODY.  It's going to be Kent St vs Northern Ill in the conference championship.  So, suck my dick.

Mountain West:  We all have Boise St winning and they are tied with people.  I don't fucking know.

Sun Belt

Still in it: Folden (2), Andrew (6), Rob (6), Joe (3), Munez (5)  All with Arkansas St

Conference USA

Still in it: Rob (7), Adam (4), Jim (4), all with Central Florida
Colin (5) with Tulsa.

So that's pretty much where we are.  So, if you want to do wel lin Football God, start routing against the teams, Rob, Andrew, Munez, and Colin have.

In the Championship game it's looking like it's only down to John & I having Georgia  in the game, and Colin with Alabama in the game.

Rob's pick of Florida St hasn't moved up the polls enough to have a shot at it.  And, with 2 loses LSU isn't going to work out for most everybody else.  And, we know how well USC turned out for all of us.

That's all for now.

There are still all the BCS bowl games to put into consideration, but fuck figuring that out.

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

How are our Super Bowl Pics Doing?

I figured I'd write another update on how each of our Super Bowl Pics are doing.  I'll go team by team.


Chosen by 6 people

Green Bay 6-3

Joe and Rob to win
Andrew, Adam, Folden, & Jim to lose

Green Bay started off 2-3 and have won 4 straight since then.  They have played a fairly easy schedule so far though.  Their toughest games start right after their bye week

Chosen by 5 people:

New England 5-3

 Munez, Andrew, and John to win.
 Joe and Rob to lose.

New England started off kind of shitty this year.  But it seems like they have gotten their ahold of things, while the rest of their shitty division has fallen off.

Chosen by 3 people

Baltimore 6-2

Adam and Folden to win
Colin to lose

Baltimore stormed out of the gates and looked really good at first.  Since then, Flacco has started to stall, and Baltimore's offense with it.  A lot of injuries to their traditionally great defense has left them vulnerable and needing some help.

Chosen by 2 people

Pittsburgh 5-3

Jim to win
Shawn to lose

Pittsburgh was 2-3 3 weeks ago, but since then they have played dominant.  After a Monday night game against shitty Kansas City, they play Baltimore two games out of three.  Should be a lot known about both of those teams in about a month.

San Francisco 6-2

Colin to win
John to lose

San Fran has looked steady all year.  A loss here and there, but their consistent brand of defense has them looking good.

Chosen by 1

Chicago 7-1

Chosen by Shawn to win

Chicago has looked great, despite Cutler's best attempts to spew his loserdum all over the place.  As long as their defense keeps up the sweet dick, they are a great looking pick.

Atlanta

Chosen by Munez to lose

Munez is the only person to pick the league's only undefeated team in the playoffs.  Unfortunately for Chris, Atlanta hasn't done dick in the playoffs with Matty pube Lice as their QB.  We'll see what happens there this year.

Football God Standings Week 10 totals

So, I've been busy this week, but I wanted to put out a quick update for this week

BIG UPS

Big Ups go to Colin & Rob

Rob won his 5th straight fantasy game, while Colin won his 1st game since week 3.

Also, they both scored 23 points in the pick 'em this week, giving them each their first 10 point bonus of the season.

Shout out goes to Andrew, who put up another huge number in fantasy, which this one actually held up.

BIG DOWNS

Big downs go to Joe & John this week

Joe for not submitting any pro picks until Sunday night.

John for losing by 3 points in his fantasy game, while not picking up a defense. He did it for strategy, because he didn't want to drop any of his players, but it worked against him.

RED OUTS

Everyone who had LSU in the BCS championship are now out of the points there.  Colin is basically the only person who has a chance to get College championship game points now, having Alabama in the championship game.

Fantasy Football standings

1. Joe 6-3
2. John 5-4
3. Adam 5-4
4. Folden 5-4
5. Rob 5-4
6. Jim 4-5
7. Shawn 4-5
8. Munez 4-5
9. Colin 4-5
10. Andrew 3-6

Fantasy Trends

1. Rob has won 5 games in a row, after starting 0-4
2. John and I have both lost two games in a row after being tied for first place 2 weeks ago.
3. Jim has a losing record, despite scoring the most points in the league by about 75 points.
4. Andrew is in last place in the league despite scoring the 3rd most points of the season.
5. Folden has won 4 out of 5 games after starting 0-3.

Total scores.

College pics + Pro Pics + fantasy wins + (bonus)

Adam 112+62+50+(20)= 244
Shawn 108+65+40+(35)=248
Colin 105+68+40+(10)=223
Rob 90+70+50+(10)=220
Andrew 101+62+30+(10)=203
Joe  96+56+60+(10)=222
Munez 120+55+40+(25)= 240
Folden 105+61+50= 216
Jim 110+51+40=201
John 87+56+50= 193

Total

1. Shawn 248 (=)
2. Adam 244 (=)
3. Munez 240 (=)
4. Colin 223 (+3)
5. Joe 222 (-1)
6. Rob 220 (+2)
7. Folden 216 (-2)
8. Andrew 203 (+2)
9. Jim 201 (-3)
10. John 193 (-1)

Lots of movement this week.

TRENDS

1. The gap between first and last grew slightly from 54 points to 55 points.
2. Rob closed the gap from himself to first from 49 points last week to 28 points this week.
3. Colin closed the gap from 46 points last week from first place to 25 points this week.
4. Andrew closed his gap from 54 points to  45 points.
5. John has falled 3 points in the last two weeks.
6. Jim has fallen 6 spots in the last 3 weeks.

As always.  Please check your scores.  I have made mistakes before.

Thursday, November 1, 2012

Week 10 Look Ahead

Big week in Football God.  Let's look ahead.

LSU VS ALABAMA

Every week is a big week in Football God; however, there usually isn't one game that has so many implications on the predictions.  However, this week, Alabama plays LSU.  This is the biggest game of the week for us.

So many people have LSU or Alabama winning the SEC and playing in the National title game, that this could result in a major point swing.

KANSAS ST vs OK ST & TEXAS vs TEXAS TECH, WVU vs TCU

There are a few people who put Texas as the Big 12 winner.  A few who put WVU as well.  Kansas St is playing one of it's last true tests of the season, with only Oklahoma in the future.  Kansas St fell off late last year; but, a win against Ok St this week will pretty much leave Texas & WVU dead in the water.  Especially, if they can't take care of business against their difficult opponents, too.

CONFERENCE USA

East Carolina vs Houston
Central Florida vs SMU

Once these two games are over, I'll finally be able to break the conference down, and be able to project out the rest of the season.

In the Pros, there aren't a bunch of big happenings.  But, there are some teams that people have picked that may need to start getting a little desperate.

NO vs PHI

Both of these teams have under-performed from expectations.  A loss for the Saints would be sort of a death blow, while a loss by Philly would put them at 3-5 and against the ropes.

Jets, Cincinnati, Buffalo, Dallas, Tennessee & San Diego.  All teams that were picked in one shape or another to make the playoffs.  Each one is under .500 and need to get some wins to not make themselves irrelevant.

FANTASY FOOTBALL PREVIEW

John 5-3 vs Colin 3-5

Man, I wanted to pick this as my upset of the week, until I saw that Arian Foster was going against the Bills. Foster may score 80 fantasy points this week, and I wouldn't be all that surprised.  Colin is riding a 5 game losing streak, and he needs to get on the winning track again at some point.  Colin's team has the ability to put up some big points, so we'll see what happens.  I just don't think it's looking good for him this week.


Rob 4-4 vs Jim 4-4
Rob is riding a 4 game winning streak, mostly from the duel resurgence of Chris Johnson & Peyton Manning.       Jim's team is stacked but inconsistent.  This is actually a match up of the highest scoring team in the league (Jim) vs the lowest scoring (Rob).  A difference of nearly 30 points a week.  Rob can't win every game for the rest of the year, so I'm going to say that his streak ends here.
Jim wins in my LOCK of the week.

Andrew 2-6 vs Munez 4-4
Andrew is lucky enough to get Munez, while Tom Brady is on a buy.  Andrew is also unlucky enough to be Andrew this year, so Munez's back up will probably throw for 500 yards and 17 touchdowns.  Andrew's teams also have some pretty tough match ups this week.  It's looking pretty good for Chris & pretty bleak for Andrew.

Joe 5-3 vs Adam 5-3

Joe's stretched pretty thin this week.  His entire bench is on bye or injured.  That being said, he's still projected to put up similar numbers to me.  This one could be pretty close.

GAME OF THE WEEK

Shawn 4-4 vs Folden 4-4

Shawn and Folden's team stats are pretty even for the season.  The winner of this game will automatically move themselves up into the top 4 or 5 teams of the league for the first time all season.