Big Changes Thanks to that Clemson Ass whoopin'

Quite the headline I know, but it really sort of fits in for the group.  To give a little background on the history of FBG we've been predicting the College & Pro Championships since the beginning.  The reason why those are worth significantly more points then other things is because it's relatively to predict just right.  So, in the course of our league, it's been a nice reward to give the people who are able to accurately predict the champion a bit of a leg up for doing so.

This year is not like every other year.  Since August everyone knew it was probably going to end up Clemson vs Alabama.  Sure, some people picked Georgia to mix it up, and Eplin in explicitly picked Wisconsin, but the likelihood of Clemson vs Alabama was high.  Because of that going into the last game of the season we were going to see a huge swing in the points either way.

With most people having one of the forms of Clemson and Alabama, whoever got it right was getting 10 points (in most cases) and the loser was getting nothing.  Below were the standings going into the final game.

Gary 27
Munez 26
Kemp 25
Eplin 24
Hale 23
Adam 22
Joe 22
John 19
Jim 19
Rob 18
Folden 18
Voyten 11

This would be the final standings if Alabama had won:

Munez 36
Hale 33
Joe 32
Eplin 30
Kemp 29
Folden 28
Gary 27
John 23
Adam 22
Jim 19
Rob 18
Voyten 11

Here are the final standings with Clemson winning

Gary 37 (7)
Adam 32 (6)
Jim 29 (5)
Munez 26 (5)
Kemp 25 (5)
Eplin 24 (4)
Rob 24 (4)
Hale 23 (4)
Joe 22 (4)
John 19 (3)
Folden 18 (3)
Voyten 11 (2)

Other than the fact that in either case, Shawn is woefully in last place, there are giant swings.  Remember this when we get to the standings this week.

With that, Gary gets 5 bonus points, I get 3 bonus points, and Jim gets 2 bonus points.  In addition to this I counted up our total prediction points.  In the rules, it stated that for every 5 points you score in the predictions you get a bonus point.  The bonus points are in parenthesis above.

Bonus Points

Giving an update on where we stand on bonus points:  Keep in mind this is with the 1 bonus point per prediction in College pick'em but NOT in the pro pick'em:  Obviously, those top 3 bonus's are coming into play more and more.

Munez	26
Adam	24
Hale	22.5
Gary	21
Kemp	17.5
Rob	17
Joe	17
Jim	17
John	16
Folden	15.5
Eplin	12
Shawn	12

Bowl Pick'em
Onto our bowl pick'em.  It appears nothing changed in the pick'em.  Meaning our final winner is Shawn, followed by Kemp, and then Me.  The bonus points will go out 5, 3, and 2.

Final ROTO points per person.

Shawn 12
Kemp 11
Adam 10
Eplin 9
Rob 8
Folden 7
Hale 6
Joe 4.5
John 4.5
Gary 3
Jim 2
Munez 1

Pro Pick'em

There were slight changes in pro pick'em this week.  Mainly with Gary jumping up to 4th.  This is still really close, with 2 games seperating Gary, Joe, and Shawn for 4th place.  Hale and Sahwn tied for 7th.  These last few games could make the difference in close standings in the finish.

Pro Predictions

John 26

Hale 24

Rob 21

Joe 21

Kemp 21

Jim 20

Adam 18

Eplin 17

Shawn 16

Munez 13

Gary 12

Folden 12

That are the current standings in the Pro Predictions.  And these are the points still to go out.

MVP

Offensive Rookie of the Year

Comeback player of the Year

Coach of the Year

Defensive Rookie of the Year

Defensive Player of the year

AFC & NFC Championship Game losers

Super Bowl Loser

Super Bowl Winner

So, in the next few weeks we'll settle the bonus points category, pro predictions, and pro pick'em. 

So let's see what's changed.  Our standings last update

1. Rob 78.5

2. Joe 74

3. Hale 72.5

4. Munez 67.5

5. Adam 62

6. Folden 61.5

7. John 57.5

8. Eplin 51.5

9. Shawn 51

10. Kemp 49

11. Jim 39

12. Gary 38.5

Now let's see where everyone would stand if Alabama had won last week.


Joe 72.5
Hale 72.5
Rob 70
Munez 67
Folden 65.5
Adam 60
John 59.5
Eplin 54
Kemp 53.5

Shawn 49.5
Gary 40.5
Jim 39

Finally, let's take a look at where we actually stand, solely becaue Clemson beat Alabama, instead of the other way around.

Rob 78
Joe 67.5
Adam 67
Hale 67
Munez 64
Folden 58.5
John 56.5
Kemp 54.5
Eplin 52
Shawn 49.5
Jim 47
Gary 46.5

Unreal how a few bonus points and a jump in the standings can change everything.  Essentially it looks like Rob has it locked up.  He'd have to drop 11 points to one of the 3 people below him, and I don't think there's enough variance left for that to happen.

The interesting thing now is between 2nd and 5th.  Only half a point seperate 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.  With Munez still only a couple of points back.  With us all having different Superbowls, it'll probably come down to that game to decide who finishes in the money, and who finishes out.

Pre playoff update

Hey fellas.  Let's all be friends here and talk about where we stand going into the final month of the football season.

Fantasy Football

Hale and I's game came down to the Sunday night affair, and he outlasted me to win the Fantasy Championship.

That's 5 bonus points to Hale, 3 to me, and 2 to Rob, who finished in 3rd. 

Your final points standings in fantasy look like this:

Hale 12
Adam 11
Rob 10
Joe 9
Shawn 8
Folden 7
Eplin 6
Munez 5
Jim 4
Gary 3
John 2
Kemp 1

Pro Pick'em has changed a lot of over the past few weeks.  With only 11 games left in the season, it may be hard to make too much of a move here.

Folden 12
Munez 11
Rob 10
Joe 9
Gary 8
Shawn 7
Jim & Hale 5.5
Adam 4
Kemp 3
Eplin 2
John 1

Folden is probably safe at either 1st or 2nd, with Rob in 3rd 6 games back.  Munez could still jump to 1st or possibly fall to 3rd.  The place where there's real chances for carnage is between 4th and 8th.  Only 4 games separate that bunch. 

Bowl Pick'em

With 1 game to play here is where we stand

Shawn 559
Kemp 519
Adam 494
Eplin 480
Rob 477
Folden 432
Hale 422
John 422
Joe 421
Gary 391
Jim 331
Munez 320

The nice thing about ESPN is that it shows you how many points each person has remaining.  Rob for instance, at 5th has only 1 point left, so he can't go any higher than 5th place.  He also has a 45 point lead over Folden at 6th.  So you know he's set there at 5th.

Shawn has a 40 point lead over Kemp at 2nd place, with Kemp having 35 points left.  So Shawn will win.  Kemp can finish no worse then 3rd, I can finish no worse then 4th.  Eplin will finish between 2nd - 4th.

The real juice here is between 6th and 9th.  Only 11 points separates the Mclanes, Folden, and Hale.  So, who will use there gamesmenship right.  Switch to Clemson and hope everyone else picks Bama, or stay with Bama and hope every else switches?

Here's our cooresponding point totals as of now

Shawn 12
Kemp 11
Adam 10
Eplin 9
Rob 8
Folden 7
Hale 6
Joe 4.5
John 4.5
Gary 3
Jim 2
Munez 1

Pro Predictions

I don't really have time to go through all of this.  But I'll just post the point totals as of now. 

John 26

Hale 24

Rob 21

Joe 21

Kemp 21

Jim 20

Adam 18

Eplin 17

Shawn 16

Munez 13

Gary 12

Folden 12

I'll get more into the pro predictions next week.  

On another note I had completely forgotten that for College and pro predictions you get a bonus point for every 5 points you score.  So our bonus points are updated with that in mind. 

Here is where we are at in bonus points now.  

Munez	28
Hale	26.5
John	22
Adam	21
Joe	21
Rob	20
Kemp	19.5
Folden	17.5
Jim	17
Gary	16
Eplin	15
Shawn	10

Lastly,  Rob ended up winning the losers pool.  He didn't lose a game all year.  Well done by him and John taking it down to week 17.

So obviously there's a few bottle necks that can still clear up.  In the meantime, here are your overall total scores as of 1/4/19

1. Rob 78.5

2. Joe 74

3. Hale 72.5

4. Munez 67.5

5. Adam 62

6. Folden 61.5

7. John 57.5

8. Eplin 51.5

9. Shawn 51

10. Kemp 49

11. Jim 39

12. Gary 38.5

So, the addition of a couple of categories really mixed things up.  Hale jumped from 5th to 3rd.  Munez fell from 1st to 4th.  Folden from 3rd to 6th.  Will be interesting to see how things play out.  Points will fluctuate again on Tueday after the College football season ends.  Update it then.