Well well well...Thanks to the Saints I got my wish. We got some fucking movement on the Survivor Pool. Four eliminations: to Shawn, Jim, Eplin, and Joe, knocks the Survivor Pool down from 9 to 5. Per usual, the Saints fuck the chicken on it, getting blown out to the Falcons when they were 13 point favorites.
This leaves Gary and Rob as the only two people without a strike. Me, Hale, and Alex are still alive with a strike a piece.
Shawn, Jim, Eplin, and Joe will be fighting it out for the 4 to 7 point range of things.
The Losers Pool was even nuttier. Literally everyone lost. Shawn got his first strike, and that was good enough to finish in 1st place for the year, netting him 12 points in the overall standings. Everyone else, Rob, Joe, Eplin, Munez, Me, Gary, will be fighting for the 11 to 6 point boost. Congrats to Shawn.
College Football Predictions:
I was able to get a much better look at how things are able to play out this week. I'm going to be sending this as a link through facebook so you can follow along.
The color coding is pretty simple. If it's in Green it is confirmed, if it's in yellow it's unlikley to occur, and if it's in Red it won't occur.
The only predictions to come 100% accurate so far are Folden's Willie Taggart fired prediction and Rob's Chris Ash fired prediction. I want to hgihlight a coupel of places where people are looking good.
In the Big 12 a lot of people went Texas this year. With only a few games left Oklahoma is looking poised to repeat. This benefits Joe, Rob, Munez, Eplin, Alex, John, Hale,and Folden.
Somehow I was the only person pick either Ohio St or Minnesota to make the big 10 title game. This would be a huge boost for me, if Ohio State were to play Minnesota and beat them.
The AAC is looking very much like UCF won't be winning that. This is a big boost to Voyten, Hale, and Rob who have Memphis.
5 people took Georgia winning the SEC this year. I'm unsure if this will happen, as it's looking increasingly like Alabama won't be in the SEC championship. LSU has 3 conference games left and would need to lose 2 of them for Bama to get into that game.
Alex, Munez, and Folden are the only ones hurt by Washington's fall off this year, Oregona nd Utah are fairly split between the rest of us.
At this point, almost everyone's picks are still in the running. Outside of anyone who chose Texas or Michigan. Otherwise everyone's picks are all still in the running.
Fantasy Football
Technically, I guess, Eplin and Gary aren't eliminated mathematically yet. But, let's presume they're chances of making it in this are so small that we'll leave them out of discussion until we see a win or two.
Let's also assume that Joe, Shawn, and Hale are in the playoffs. All three are at 7-3 and have a 3 game lead over the 7th place team.
Today we'll focus on teams 4-10
Folden 4-6 vs Rob 6-4
Jim 4-6 vs Shawn 7-3
Alex 4-6 vs Eplin 3-7
John 4-6 vs Hale 7-3
Munez 6-4 vs Joe 7-3
Adam 5-5 vs Gary 3-7
So, the only game between teams that are still fighting is between Rob and Folden. Like half of Folden's team is either on bye or hurt, so let's sea how this goes. I mean the guy's receiving core is Curits Samuel, Cole Beasley, and N'Keal Harry, a guy I've literally never heard of. These are either the most savvy plays of all time or Folden's just fucked.
Otherwise, Alex has fought back from a 0-5 start to win 4 out of his last 5 getting up to 7th place and being a win and a lose from me away from being in the playoff picture. He has a 50 piont lead on me in points for hte tie breaker. If he loses the Folden, Jim, and John all could tie me with a win this weekend and a loss by me. It's most likely I would keep my point tie breaker over each of them unless I did absolutely nothing.
If Folden, Jim, Alex, John, Joe and Gary were to win though that would cause some craziness. 4-10 would all be seperated by 1 game. We'll likely endu p somewhere in between.
That's it for this week.
Thursday, November 14, 2019
Tuesday, November 5, 2019
Update in the City
Another wicked weekend has come and gone, and here we are knee deep in a soggy November rain, basking in the memories of warmer days. Onto the update
NFL was wild this weekend with the hometeam winning every game except for the Monday night game. That fucked up a lot of people's picks and a couple of survivor pools. So let's start with that.
Survivor Pool & Losers Pool
Survivor Pool took it's 3rd victim of the season, with Folden choosing the Browns and paying for it. He's now in 10th in that giving him 3 points on the year for Survivor. The point totals go as follows
3. Folden
2. John
1. Munez
That leaves 9 people to go in this pool and man could we use some movement. We're more then halfway done on the year, and there are still 5 people without a strike. Those are:
Me, Alex, Gary, Hale, and Rob.
People with one strike are: Eplin, Shawn, Joe, and Jim.
It would figure that something has to give at some point. For those unaware of tiebreaker rules, if we go the whole season without a winner. The tie is broken based off of when the person got their first strike. So at the end of the year if it's Hale and Joe as the final 2. Hale would get first place points because he went longer without his first strike.
If people don't have a strike, or got strikes on the first week, then I'm out of guesses and the people just split the points. So, 12 and 11, each person would get 11.5.
The losers pool has had significantly more movement. Jim got knocked out by picking Pittsburgh this weekend, which puts him in 8th place gaining 5 points. The points in this one are:
5. Jim
4. John
3. Hale
2. Alex
1. Folden
Everyone else has 1 strike, except for Shawn who is pushing along without any. This pool could be over in any given week. Although that's unlikely.
Pro Pick'em
After a terrible week from Alex, the pro pick'em has finally tightened up. Shout out to Hale for obstaining on picks, realizing this week was going to be difficult. Gary took advantage of this the most, picking up 8 points on Alex and moving into 2nd place overall. He has a 4 game lead over me, which is where the bottleneck starts.
8 games seperates me at 3rd and Joe at 10th. So with 8 weeks to go in the regular season, there's plenty of room for everyone to move.
College Pick'em
College is tight. Munez has a 1 game lead over Rob and Shawn and a 3 game lead over Jim. Folden and Alex are only 4 back.
Fantasy Football
We almost had the perfect chaos weekend, but Gary's QB injury prevented him from winning. Overall, we have 4 weeks left and everyone is still technically still in it. Let's go through the standings.
Joe 6-3
Rob 6-3
Shawn 6-3
Hale 6-3
Adam 5-4
Munez 5-4
John 4-5
Folden 4-5
Alex 3-6
Eplin 3-6
Jim 3-6
Gary 3-6
3 games separating 1st through 12th is pretty good variance. four 6-3 teams, four 3-6 teams, two 5-4 teams, 2 4-5 teams. It's almost beautiful to look at.
What does this mean for playoffs? Well, you need to look at next week's schedule to get a better idea of where this might shake out. Consider this the 2nd part of potential fantasy football chaos that could ensue, based off of the schedule.
1. Joe 6-3 vs 2. Rob 6-3
5. Adam 5-4 vs 6. Munez 5-4
4. Hale 6-3 vs 12. Gary 3-6
3. Shawn 6-3 vs Folden 4-5
So the first 3 games. Rob and Joe are basically playing for 1st and a playoff spot guarenteed (based off of their points). So there game is pretty much irrelevant for this articles purposes.
Gary needs to win or he's done. That simple. He needs to win out plain and simple.
Munez and are playing at 5-4. This means that one of the playoff teams next week will be 5-5, whether it's me, Munez, Folden, or John (if they both won)
Folden needs to beat Shawn to put himself into good position down the stretch to make the playoffs.
Here's where things get interesting, and where the playoffs more then likely start for 4 teams this weekend.
Alex 3-6 vs John 4-5
Eplin 3-6 vs Jim 3-6
Simply put, Jim or Eplin are out of it after this weekend. And Alex is out if he loses. John's very low points for likely puts him out if he loses too, so let's say this is playoffs starting for these teams.
Let's put out a scenario.
Alex wins, Gary wins, Folden wins. Our standings next week
1. J or R 7-3
2. J or R 6-4
3. Shawn 6-4
4. Hale 6-4
5. A or M 6-4
6. A, F or M 5-5
7. A, F, or M 5-5
Then you have
John 4-6
Alex 4-6
Gary 4-6
Jim or Eplin 4-6
If this happens, we'll have 5 teams within one game of the playoffs with 3 to play. That's where things go nuts.
Bonus Points:
I'm going to do a full on bonus point update here soon and let everyone know where they stand.
Pro & College Predictions:
We're 1 week away from when college predictions can be talked about. That, fantasy and bonus points will be the soul update for next week.
NFL was wild this weekend with the hometeam winning every game except for the Monday night game. That fucked up a lot of people's picks and a couple of survivor pools. So let's start with that.
Survivor Pool & Losers Pool
Survivor Pool took it's 3rd victim of the season, with Folden choosing the Browns and paying for it. He's now in 10th in that giving him 3 points on the year for Survivor. The point totals go as follows
3. Folden
2. John
1. Munez
That leaves 9 people to go in this pool and man could we use some movement. We're more then halfway done on the year, and there are still 5 people without a strike. Those are:
Me, Alex, Gary, Hale, and Rob.
People with one strike are: Eplin, Shawn, Joe, and Jim.
It would figure that something has to give at some point. For those unaware of tiebreaker rules, if we go the whole season without a winner. The tie is broken based off of when the person got their first strike. So at the end of the year if it's Hale and Joe as the final 2. Hale would get first place points because he went longer without his first strike.
If people don't have a strike, or got strikes on the first week, then I'm out of guesses and the people just split the points. So, 12 and 11, each person would get 11.5.
The losers pool has had significantly more movement. Jim got knocked out by picking Pittsburgh this weekend, which puts him in 8th place gaining 5 points. The points in this one are:
5. Jim
4. John
3. Hale
2. Alex
1. Folden
Everyone else has 1 strike, except for Shawn who is pushing along without any. This pool could be over in any given week. Although that's unlikely.
Pro Pick'em
After a terrible week from Alex, the pro pick'em has finally tightened up. Shout out to Hale for obstaining on picks, realizing this week was going to be difficult. Gary took advantage of this the most, picking up 8 points on Alex and moving into 2nd place overall. He has a 4 game lead over me, which is where the bottleneck starts.
8 games seperates me at 3rd and Joe at 10th. So with 8 weeks to go in the regular season, there's plenty of room for everyone to move.
College Pick'em
College is tight. Munez has a 1 game lead over Rob and Shawn and a 3 game lead over Jim. Folden and Alex are only 4 back.
Fantasy Football
We almost had the perfect chaos weekend, but Gary's QB injury prevented him from winning. Overall, we have 4 weeks left and everyone is still technically still in it. Let's go through the standings.
Joe 6-3
Rob 6-3
Shawn 6-3
Hale 6-3
Adam 5-4
Munez 5-4
John 4-5
Folden 4-5
Alex 3-6
Eplin 3-6
Jim 3-6
Gary 3-6
3 games separating 1st through 12th is pretty good variance. four 6-3 teams, four 3-6 teams, two 5-4 teams, 2 4-5 teams. It's almost beautiful to look at.
What does this mean for playoffs? Well, you need to look at next week's schedule to get a better idea of where this might shake out. Consider this the 2nd part of potential fantasy football chaos that could ensue, based off of the schedule.
1. Joe 6-3 vs 2. Rob 6-3
5. Adam 5-4 vs 6. Munez 5-4
4. Hale 6-3 vs 12. Gary 3-6
3. Shawn 6-3 vs Folden 4-5
So the first 3 games. Rob and Joe are basically playing for 1st and a playoff spot guarenteed (based off of their points). So there game is pretty much irrelevant for this articles purposes.
Gary needs to win or he's done. That simple. He needs to win out plain and simple.
Munez and are playing at 5-4. This means that one of the playoff teams next week will be 5-5, whether it's me, Munez, Folden, or John (if they both won)
Folden needs to beat Shawn to put himself into good position down the stretch to make the playoffs.
Here's where things get interesting, and where the playoffs more then likely start for 4 teams this weekend.
Alex 3-6 vs John 4-5
Eplin 3-6 vs Jim 3-6
Simply put, Jim or Eplin are out of it after this weekend. And Alex is out if he loses. John's very low points for likely puts him out if he loses too, so let's say this is playoffs starting for these teams.
Let's put out a scenario.
Alex wins, Gary wins, Folden wins. Our standings next week
1. J or R 7-3
2. J or R 6-4
3. Shawn 6-4
4. Hale 6-4
5. A or M 6-4
6. A, F or M 5-5
7. A, F, or M 5-5
Then you have
John 4-6
Alex 4-6
Gary 4-6
Jim or Eplin 4-6
If this happens, we'll have 5 teams within one game of the playoffs with 3 to play. That's where things go nuts.
Bonus Points:
I'm going to do a full on bonus point update here soon and let everyone know where they stand.
Pro & College Predictions:
We're 1 week away from when college predictions can be talked about. That, fantasy and bonus points will be the soul update for next week.
Friday, November 1, 2019
Weekend Preview
Wanted to give a quick weekend preview to you guys: Especially where it states around fantasy football. This could be the last weekend where everyone is relevant.
1. Joe (6-2)
4. Shawn (5-3)
3 Rob (5-3)
5 Adam (5-3)
These games are your top rung teams playing it out for postion. A loss likely keeps all the 5-3 teams in the playoffs, so they are important for seeding and trying to secure a better chance at playoffs.
2. Hale 6-2)
11. Alex (2-6)
8 Eplin (3-5)
9 Folden (3-5)
7 John (4-4)
12 Jim (2-6)
6 Munez (4-4)
10 Gary (3-5)
Here's where your schedule matters most. 3 games between people at 2-6, 3-5, or 4-4. So let's play out a couple of scenarios.
If Alex or Jim loses, they're done. Folden & Eplin will result in a 3-6 and a 4-5 team, and Munez and Gary could result in two 4-5 teams.
If Alex, Jim, and Gary win. We'll end up with a 6-12 that looks like this.
Munez 4-5
Gary 4-5
Eplin or Folden 4-5
John 4-5
Eplin or Folden 3-6
Jim 3-6
Alex 3-6
What this means is that we'll have 6 teams within one game of the playoffs, also everyone would be within 2 games of the 2nd seed (without tiebreakers). In this scenario only Joe is really safe for the playoffs for the time being.
Of course it's more likely that we end up with some sort of mixture of this and at least 1 team will be eliminated from contention this weekend.
Survivor Pool & Losers Pool
With 8 weeks down. We have a little bit of movement in the pools.
The survivor Pool hasn't changed much, all we have figured out there is that John is 11th and Munez is 12th.
Me, Alex, Gary, Hale, and Rob are all without a strike and we're all clear of Week 9 having picked the Niners on Thursday night.
Eplin has 1 strike and also picked the niners. Otherwise, Folden, Jim, Joe, and Shawn all have one strike and are yet to go this week.
Losers Pool
The losers pool has had more movement. Currently the points given out in that one go as follows
4. John
3. Hale
2. Alex
1. Folden
Everyone else has 1 strike, except for Shawn who is strikeless. Munez, Eplin, Gary, Joe, and Rob are clear of week 9 having chosen Arizona in the Thursday Night game. Shawn, Jim, and I still have to pick.
Pick 'ems
Pro pick'em is still pretty tight for hte most part, except for Alex. Alex has an 8 game lead over me and Hale for 2nd. Gary is two behind us. Munez 3, Jim 4, Rob 5, Folden 6.
In college Munez has a two game lead over Folden, 3 over Rob and Sahwn, and 4 over Alex. Jim is right behind at 5 back.
I'll be getting a bonus point update here soon so everyone can see where they stand. I will even be able to mock up some standings in the next week or two.
That's it for now. Have a good weekend. I'll try to get back after the weekend with some updated College Predictions as we head down the stretch.
1. Joe (6-2)
4. Shawn (5-3)
3 Rob (5-3)
5 Adam (5-3)
These games are your top rung teams playing it out for postion. A loss likely keeps all the 5-3 teams in the playoffs, so they are important for seeding and trying to secure a better chance at playoffs.
2. Hale 6-2)
11. Alex (2-6)
8 Eplin (3-5)
9 Folden (3-5)
7 John (4-4)
12 Jim (2-6)
6 Munez (4-4)
10 Gary (3-5)
Here's where your schedule matters most. 3 games between people at 2-6, 3-5, or 4-4. So let's play out a couple of scenarios.
If Alex or Jim loses, they're done. Folden & Eplin will result in a 3-6 and a 4-5 team, and Munez and Gary could result in two 4-5 teams.
If Alex, Jim, and Gary win. We'll end up with a 6-12 that looks like this.
Munez 4-5
Gary 4-5
Eplin or Folden 4-5
John 4-5
Eplin or Folden 3-6
Jim 3-6
Alex 3-6
What this means is that we'll have 6 teams within one game of the playoffs, also everyone would be within 2 games of the 2nd seed (without tiebreakers). In this scenario only Joe is really safe for the playoffs for the time being.
Of course it's more likely that we end up with some sort of mixture of this and at least 1 team will be eliminated from contention this weekend.
Survivor Pool & Losers Pool
With 8 weeks down. We have a little bit of movement in the pools.
The survivor Pool hasn't changed much, all we have figured out there is that John is 11th and Munez is 12th.
Me, Alex, Gary, Hale, and Rob are all without a strike and we're all clear of Week 9 having picked the Niners on Thursday night.
Eplin has 1 strike and also picked the niners. Otherwise, Folden, Jim, Joe, and Shawn all have one strike and are yet to go this week.
Losers Pool
The losers pool has had more movement. Currently the points given out in that one go as follows
4. John
3. Hale
2. Alex
1. Folden
Everyone else has 1 strike, except for Shawn who is strikeless. Munez, Eplin, Gary, Joe, and Rob are clear of week 9 having chosen Arizona in the Thursday Night game. Shawn, Jim, and I still have to pick.
Pick 'ems
Pro pick'em is still pretty tight for hte most part, except for Alex. Alex has an 8 game lead over me and Hale for 2nd. Gary is two behind us. Munez 3, Jim 4, Rob 5, Folden 6.
In college Munez has a two game lead over Folden, 3 over Rob and Sahwn, and 4 over Alex. Jim is right behind at 5 back.
I'll be getting a bonus point update here soon so everyone can see where they stand. I will even be able to mock up some standings in the next week or two.
That's it for now. Have a good weekend. I'll try to get back after the weekend with some updated College Predictions as we head down the stretch.
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