Tuesday, November 29, 2016

The Calm Before the Storm

Whats up losers.  Here we sit, one week away from the end of the college football regular season and our first massive update of the year.

I missed last week due to the short week, but I'm back with power and pain today.

PICK'EMS

Quick note, Shawn won the bonus in the pick'em last week with 25 correct predictions.  That's Shawn's 3rd win out of 4 weeks for bonus points.

This week was Folden winning for the 4th time this season.

Overall, we're going to see some bonus points paid out next week.  Shawn has a 3 game lead over me, and a 7 game lead over Folden at 3rd place.

It's pretty safe to say that Shawn is good for either 1st or 2nd in the college pick'em, with either 60 or 40 points going his way.

I'm at 126, Folden 122, Joe and Colin 121, and Munez 119.

There are only 8 games on the slate this week, so there isn't a ton of room to make moves.

Pro Pick'em continues to be tight.

Gary has a 1 point lead over Geiss, 2 over me and Joe, and 3 over Colin.  Eplin had a particularly bad week falling from a share of the lead to 5 back and in 6th place in the overall pick'em.

This is the last week of the 10 point bonus.  After this we will have 5 points the rest of the way out.

SURVIVOR POOL

Ah, the game that never ends.  Week 11 brought us another victim as Folden took KC and lost. Folden gets 20 points for coming in 3rd.  That brought Rob and I to week 12 as the only people left in the league.  I took the NYG and he took the Saints, both of us surviving.

That puts him with 1 strike going into week 13, and me with no strikes riding a 23 game survivor streak going back to last year.

COLLEGE PREDICTIONS

So, we aren't going to get into any pro predictions this week, but we will talk about a couple of College Predictions.

Appalachian State has won at least a share of the Sun Belt, which earns 20 points for Folden, Joe, Munez, Colin, Rob, Hale, and Eplin.  If Arkansas St wins this weekend they will earn a share as well for Shawn and Geiss.

Gary, Jim, and I are out of that conference. Arkansas St also plays Texas St who is 2-9 on the year, so ya know...Figure it out.

Additionally, Tennessee & Notre Dame are looking like locks to finish out of the Ap top 25.

This will give 20 points to Me, Jim, Shawn, Folden, Joe, Colin, Geiss, Eplin, and Gary.

As of now, none of our unranked teams we picked to finish in the Top 25 are in the top 25.  Boise St is knocking on the door, which would give 20 points to Shawn, Folden, Rob, and Hale.  But, with them being off this week, it may be difficult.

The Conference Championships are this week and this what the schedule looks like

De Facto Big 12 Championship Game
Oklahoma Vs Oklahoma St

Oklahoma winning would keep them alive for a chance at a playoff appearance, which helps a lot of people.  Also, a win would give everyone 20 points but Jim for the Big 12 championship.

PAC 12 Championship
Colorado vs Washington

A win for Washington would give Pac 12 points to Me, Shawn, Joe, Munez, and Hale.  A loss helps everyone else out.  Noone had Colorado or Washington in the playoff

Big 10 Championship Game
Wisconsin vs Penn St

Everyone had either Michigan or Ohio State winning the Conference.  So, noone will get Big 10 points this year.

SEC Championship Game
Alabama Vs Florida

Alabama is favored by like 25 points, so it could be a blow out.  Eplin, Hale, and Rob are the only people to not have Alabama winning this Conference.

ACC Championship
Clemson vs Va Tech

Munez and Eplin were the only two to keep Clemson out of the ACC Championship, everyone else will get point if Clemson wins.

MAC Championship
Western Michigan vs Ohio

9 people had Western Michigan winning the MAC.  Munez and Gary had Ohio.  Geiss had Bowling Green and is the only person without a chance.

Conference USA

Western Kentucky VS Louisiana Tech

Many people had Southern Miss and Marshall.  Rob, Hale and I had Western Kentucky.

Mountain West

San Diego St vs Wyoming

Me, Shawn, Colin, Geiss, and Eplin have a shot with San Diego St this weekend.   Everyone else had Boise and are out of it.

Most of the College Football Awards finalist have been released, except the Heisman and Lombardi award.  As usual, most of our predictions have lost, but there are a couple dangling out there

Doak Walker, Dalvin Cook, picked by Me, Shawn, and Folden.

Thorpe Award, Tre'Davio White, picked by Folden.

Butkis Award:  Rueben Foster, picked by Geiss

Maxwell Award: Baker Mayfield picked by Joe and Folden.

No word yet on the AP Coach of the year, Lombardi or Heisman finialists.


FANTASY FOOTBALL

Here are the current standings with 1 week to go.

*1. Jim 9-3
*2. Rob 8-4
*3. Jim 8-4
4. Colin 7-5
5.  Shawn 7-5
6. Gary 7-6
7. Adam 6-6
8. Hale 5-7
9. Munez 5-7
10.  Geiss 4-8
11. Eplin 4-8
12. Folden 2-10


Jim, Rob, and Joe are clinched for sure.  They are playing for 1st round BYE in playoffs.

Shawn and Colin are locks as well.  All they'll have to do is basically field a lineup and they would win.

Gary's 6 seed is the only one up for grabs.  It breaks down like this.  If Gary wins he's in.

If Gary loses, I win, and I outscore Gary by 52 points, I'm in.  So Gary's about a 98% sure thing as well.

Week 13 matchups:

Jim 9-3 vs Eplin 4-8
Jim locks up a first round bye with a win.

Gary 7-5 vs Hale 5-7
Gary needs a win or a general strong showing.

Rob 8-4 vs Geiss 4-8
A win pretty much locks up a Bye for Rob

Joe 8-4 vs Munez 5-7
Joe needs a win and a little help for a Bye week.

Colin 7-5 vs Folden 2-10
Colin is a lock for playoffs and can still get a Bye with a win, and a Rob and Joe loss in which Rob doesn't outscore Colin by more than 30 points.

Adam 6-6 vs Shawn 7-5.  This is the only game of two teams at .500 or better so let's go ahead and call it the game of the week.  Shawn can get a bye with a win and a Rob, Joe, and Colin loss.  or by outscoring Colin by 40 points.
I need to win and to get help from Gary.


Total Points

This is going to be our last update before things get wild, so let's get a point update

Fantasy wins + Pro pick'em + college pick'em + (pick'em bonus) + [Survivor Pool] + Predictions

Folden will have his 20 points in the survivor pool added in here.  All three of us will have our 10 point bonus for making past week 9.  This also won't have any of the predictions added in.  Will wait til next week and go from there.

Jim+90+93+105+40+20
Rob 80+100+108+[10]+20
Joe 80+109+121+(20)+40
Colin 70+108+121+(20)+40
Shawn 70+103+129+(30)+20
Gary 70+111+116+(20)+20
Adam 60+109+126+(15)+[10]+20
Hale 50+92+105+20
Munez 50+103+119+20
Geiss 40+110+117+20
Eplin 40+106+112+(10)+40
Folden 20+104+122+(40)+[30]+40


1 Joe 370
2. Colin 359
3. Folden 356
4. Shawn 352
5. Adam 340
6 Gary 337
7 Rob 318
8 Jim 308
8 Eplin 308
10 Munez 292
11 Geiss 287
12 Hale 267


A couple of notes.  These points are really indictitive of the standings as much as they are just a total of what has been earned.  Some people got 20 points for winning the Sunbelt, while Geiss & Shawn didn't, but could easily have it next week.

Folden's point total includes his survivor 3rd place, while Rob & mine doesn't include ours, although at the least we will have 40 more points.

Also, the college predictions are coming through next week.

There are a total of 320 potential College prediction points that will be finalized next week.
There is a 60, 40, & 20 point college pick'em bonus that will be resolved next week.
There is a 60 and 40 point survivor pool bonus that could be issued out any week now.

And that doesn't include anything with the NFL that's going to start and resolve in the next couple of weeks.

So...the point is.  Noone is safe, noone is behind.  The 2nd half of Football God IX starts next Monday.

Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Update City

Here's an update of the events that recently transpired in our pathetic fantasy lives.

SURVIVOR POOL

So, Folden & I took Baltimore over Cleveland.  Rob took Arizona over San Francisco.  Steady as she goes.   No loses or any changes.

PICK'EMS

Pro Pick'em

Geiss has maintained his lead in the pick'em, and things remain close.

Eplin & Rob led the way with 8 correct a piece.

Overall, Geiss has a 2 point lead over Gary, and a 4 point lead over Eplin, Joe, and myself.

College Pick'em

I have maintained my lead over the field, but not without letting things get super close.  Shawn crushed the pick'em with 14, Joe with 13, Hale with 12, and four people at 11.  I was back at 9 letting the field close in.  

There are only 3 weeks left in the college pick'em so make your moves boys.

Overall, I have a 3 game lead over Shawn and Colin and a 4 game lead over Joe.  Gary is 7 back.

Shawn won the bonus with 20 correct predictions.

FANTASY FOOTBALL

Lots to report on this front, but let's start with last week's results.

Gary took a garbage time Antonio Brown to top Colin.

Rob pounded Folden, leading to Folden's 9th straight loss.

Munez beat up Eplin to stay alive.

Joe put up a huge number beating Shawn.

Jim continued cruizing, beating Geiss.

I squeaked by Hale, making him 3-7 on the season, eliminating him from the playoff race.

So, WHERE DO WE STAND.

Current Playoff Standings

1. Jim
BYE

4. Shawn
5. Gary

3. Colin
6. Joe

BYE
2. Rob

Three weeks to go.

1.  Jim is all but mathematically into the palyoffs.  He's 8-2 with a 3 game lead on the playoffs with 3 to play.

Playoff chances 99.5% (none of these percentages are actually math based).

2.  Rob is 7-3, with a high point total.  Only losing out and losing a tie breaker would keep him out.

Playoff chances 97%

3 & 4 Colin & Shawn.  They are both 6-4 with 1183 & 1187 points scored.  That's 100 points higher than anyone that could test them.  One win should net them a playoff spot.  Losing out would make it tough.  As long as they're team doesn't start putting up like 60 point games, tie breakers shouldn't be an issue.

Playoff Chances 75%

5.  Gary is 6-4 with a good point total.  His situation is similar to Colin & Shawn but with 80 less points scored he is more susceptible to someone overtaking him

Playoff chances 64%

6.  Joe is 6-4 but has only outscored me by 12 points, meaning a tie breaker between he and I is very much up in the air.  He does have a game up on the playoffs, so he's still trending in the right direction.  He has a tough road down the stretch though.

Playoff Chances 57%

7. Adam -  I'm 5-5 with 3 games to play.  I'm close to Joe, as mentioned before, and have a decent schedule in my favor.  I'm 5-2 in my last 7 games, but sit a game back

Playoff Chances 41%

8.  Geiss - Geiss is 4-6 and needs some help to get into the playoffs.  He's certainly able to help himself out, with games against Shawn & Gary remaining.  He's going to need to win out and get some help.  But he could still take a tie breaker away from many people if his team shows up.

Playoff Chances 20%

9 and 10.  Munez & Eplin are in different situations.  With lower point totals they are going to need to win out & hope that a lot of teams in front of them lose.  Gary & Joe play each other next week, meaning one of them will lose.  If Eplin can beat me, and Munez wins they would each be 1 game back of the last playoff spot with 2 games to play.  They basically would need to win out, hope that Gary, Joe, Shawn, or Colin loses out, and that I go 1-2.

Playoff Chances 2%

11. Hale has lost 4 in a row and needs a miracle to sneak in.  Based on the schedule that's left I'm not even sure if it's possible, but I'm not sure.

Playoff Chances 0.1%

12. Folden

Playoff Chances:  Yahoo clitch that changes all of our records, and Yahoo refuses to acknowledge or change anything.

WEEK 11 SCHEDULE

Jim 8-2 vs Hale 3-7

This game has a lot less impact that most of the other ones so it'll be covered first.  Jim's pretty much just working on a bye now.  Jim can officially clinch a playoff spot with a win or another loss from me.

Hale needs the aforementioned miracle to get into the playoffs, but there are still 10 points in the overeall standings up for grabs.

Munez 4-6 vs Folden 1-9

Munez needs a win to stay in it.  Folden needs a good soak.

Adam 5-5 vs Eplin 4-6

This game has a lot of impact on the standings next week.  A loss for me sure's up the playoffs for a lot of people.  Me losing could mean a clinched spot for Rob & Jim.  Eplin needs to win to stay in it.  I need to win to not be on skid row.

Geiss 4-6 vs Shawn 6-4

This game works as an elimination game for Geiss as well.  Geiss's best player is on bye, and so is Shawn's.  They are both riding 2 game losing streaks, and one will get on the right track.

Rob 7-3 vs Colin 6-4

The last thing Colin needs is another loss.  Although he looks great for the playoffs now, he looked better last week.  And, another loss would decrease those chances again.  Rob can punch his ticket with a win and an Adam loss.

GAME OF THE WEEK

Joe 6-4 vs Gary 6-4

Man, who else could it be?  The 5 & 6 seed playing each other.  The result of which puts one in the drivers seat for the playoffs and the other one potentially on the outside looking in.  A lot at stake for these two teams this week.

That's it.  Make sure you guys all say your prayers & take your vitamins.  What ya gonna do?  When Hulkamania runs wild on you.

Monday, November 14, 2016

Prediction Heavy Update

Another week in the books.  And finally, a little clarity is starting to come out of some of the predictions.  We'll start with the NFL.

There isn't much to take off yet.  But a couple of things have become clear.

The Jacksonville Jaguars aren't going anywhere but down this year.  They are twink bottom's, and the rest of the NFL are their power tops.  That leads to a red out for me, having them win the division.  Also, for Jim and Voyten for having them in the wildcard.

Of course none of this is mathematical yet, but the writing's on the wall.

This can also be said about the lowly, Bryce (rather it be Tom) Petty starting at QB.

Nothing else really looks all that clear except for the Top three picks in 2017 draft category.

Basically, anyone that is 5-4 or better I marked out of this category.

So, Detroit, Phili, Miami, Oakland, Tennesee, and Dallas were all marked out.

This is one each for everyone, 2 out for Hale, and none marked out for Geiss & Rob.

Individual award are a little diffrent.  The rushing title is Elliott's to lose, and Folden was the only person to pick him.  Colin has David Johnson, who is about 300 yards behind him, but we'll leave him as a possible at the moment.

Receving yards leader - 11 of the 12 of us had Antonio Brown, with Eplin choosing Julio Jones.  Julio has a good lead over the next closest Brown is almost 300 yars back.

Our sacks leader category.  Everyone is still in it but Voyten, Munez, Rob, and Hale who all chose J.J Watt.

Intereceptions leader- Four people had Marcus Peters who is tied for the lead league with 5.  The other 6 people who were chosen for this award have a combined 7 interceptions.  So, do with that what you will.  Earl Thomas and Patrick Peterson have 2 each, so I suppose if they get hot they can make it to the leaderboard.

That's about it for the NFL this week.

COLLEGE PREDICTIONS

So, College went a little crazy this weekend.  So crazy, in fact, that not that much changed.  8 top 25 teams lost, and 5 in the top 10.  So when the dust settled nobody had vastly improved or fallen back.

If anything, it opened the door for teams like Oklahoma to maybe squeeze their way in.  So, we'll just leave the Playoff alone right now.  Let it play itself out.

As far as the conference champions go.

AAC.

This conference we all have Houston, so although it's starting to look like the may lose it.  It's irrelevant for our purposes.

ACC

If Clemson beats wake forest they are in the championship game.  Good for the 10 people who picked them to win the ACC, bad for the 2 that didn't.

Big 12 is similar.  Oklahoma wins it if they beat WVU and Oklahoma State.  Oklahoma State gets it if they win out.  WVU wins it if they beat Oklahoma and Oklahoma beats OK State.

Only person this matters for is Jim, who was the only one who took TCU instead of Oklahoma.  So he would be rooting against Oklahoma.  Irrelevant for the rest of us.

The Big 10 is a bit more crazy.  We all took Michigan or Ohio State. And Shawn took Iowa.  If Michigan wins out, then they are in the conference championship.  If Penn St wins out and Ohio st wins out, then Penn St is in the conference championship.  If Penn St loses and Ohio St wins out they are in the conference championship.  Gun in mouth.

Conference USA's championship game is going to be between Louisiana Tech and either Old ODominion and Western Kentucky.  Most likely Western Kentucky.  Rob, Hale, and I were the only ones to take Western Kentucky.  Noone else took the other 2 schools.  Lots of Southern Miss down the shitter.

MAC - the MAC is shaping up to be between Western Michigan & Ohio.  Geiss being the only person to not choose one of those schools is the only one that's out.

MWC - This one is a little bit more muddled.  San Diego St has won their side of the conference. Wyoming was in the driver's seat but lost to UNLV this weekend.  That puts them, Boise, and New Mexico all at the top of their bracket.  If Wyoming wins out they will play in the conference championship, but they play 2 tough games against SDSU & New Mexico.  So, this may be Boise State's conference still.

We all had either Boise or SDSU.

PAC 12 - Most people took Stanford.  But, Hale, Munez, Joe, Voyten, and I took Washington.  If Washington beats Arizona St and Washington State they are in the Conference Championship,.  If not they aren't.  That simple.

The SEC is between Florida & Alabama. That's it there.


The God Loving Sun Belt - Gary, Jim, and I have already been eliminated in this conference.  Everyone else has Arkansas St or App St.  Arkansas St and Troy are still in this one, and play each other this weekend to see who has the lead.  Applachian St needs to win out and get some help.

So that's it.  Will do a short fantasy, pick'em, survivor pool update tomorrow.

 







Tuesday, November 8, 2016

Point Update For Reelz 'Dis Time

Gonna bring you guys some stank on some points.  But first the usual

SURVIVOR POOL

Still 3 of us.  Rob, Folden, Adam.  We all have earned our 10 points for making it past the halfway point in the season.  That will be factored into the points.

PICK'EM

Gary and Munez led the way with 11, and a bunch of people had 10.

Gary and Colin led the way int the NFL with 10.

Obviously, Gary won the bonus.  His second in three weeks.  Did you start paying someone to make your picks, Yingst?  Shooting up the standings lately.

Overall, I maintain a 5 point lead over Colin and a 6 point lead over Gary.  Shawn and Folden are 8 back, and Folden fell back to 9 back.

In Pro Pick'em, Geiss holds a razor thin 1 point lead over Joe, 2 over Gary, 3 over Colin, 4 over me, and 5 over Eplin and Folden.

FANTASY FOOTBALL

Nothing much to talk about in the predictions this week, so we'll just jump ahead to Fantasy Football

In a shootout that had a combined 280 points, I beat Geiss to move to 4-5.  Geiss and I are

Jim took Joe out by 2 points and moves into sole possession of 1st place.  Joe moves down to 6th place on the playoff bubble.

Shawn got spanked by Colin.  They share the 2 and 3 spots.

Gary took care of Folden's shitty team to move to 5-4.  Folden is 1-124.

Rob narrowly beat Munez to move to 6-3.  Munez to 3-6

Eplin eeked out Hale by 5, moving to 4-5.  Hale to 3-6.

Playoffs as of right now look like this.

1. Jim
Bye

4. Rob
5. Gary

3. Colin
6. Joe

Bye
2. Shawn

As far as playoff likelihood we're getting closer to that.  There are 4 games to play.

1. Jim has a 3 game lead over the playoffs, but his point total is pretty low (tiebreaker).  Jim will likely need to go 1-3 down the stretch to get into the playoffs, so he's pretty well set.

2-4  Shawn, Rob, Colin

These 3 are the top 3 point scorers, and have a  2 game lead over the playoffs.  1-3 would likely get them in, but not for sure.  2-2 is a pretty sure thing.

5-6  Gary and Joe
7-9 Adam, Geiss, Eplin

Here's the meat of the playoff race right here.  Gary and Joe are each 5-4.  The 3 of us are 4-5.

It's likely to come down to whoever can get to 7-6 and keep a good point total.  Joe may need to go 3-1 to make the playoffs. 2-2 should be good for Gary.

Eplin's pour point total means he'll likely need to go 4-0 down the stretch.

10 -11  Hale & Munez

Lose and you're out.  That simple

12. Folden

Dead.

OVERALL POINTS

Fantasy wins + college pick'em + pro pick'em + Survivor Pool + (bonus) = Total

Jim 70+80+67
Rob 60+81+76+10
Colin 60+95+80+(20)
Shawn 60+92+76+(10)
Gary 50+94+81+(20)
Joe 50+92+82+(20)
Adam 40+100+79+10+(15)
Geiss 40+88+83+
Eplin 40+89+78+(10)
Hale 30+81+65
Munez 30+88+74
Folden 10+91+78+10+(30)


1. Colin 255
2 Gary 245
t3 Adam 244
t3 Joe 244
5 Shawn 238
6 Rob 227
7 Folden 219
t8 Jim 217
t8 Eplin 217
10 Geiss 211
11 Munez 192
12 Hale 176

So there's the standings.  To give an idea of the importance of the pick'em and bonus.  Although Folden is in last in the fantasy league, he is above Jim overall who is in first.  Makes a big difference to do well in those pick'ems.

Colin has been in 1st for 2 consecutive point updates now.  Joe has gone from 1st to 2nd to 3rd in three updates.

Obviously.  As usual.  The big updates come in about 4 weeks.  But this is how she stands as of now.







Point Update For Reelz 'Dis Time

Gonna bring you guys some stank on some points.  But first the usual

SURVIVOR POOL

Still 3 of us.  Rob, Folden, Adam.  We all have earned our 10 points for making it past the halfway point in the season.  That will be factored into the points.

PICK'EM

Gary and Munez led the way with 11, and a bunch of people had 10.

Gary and Colin led the way int the NFL with 10.

Obviously, Gary won the bonus.  His second in three weeks.  Did you start paying someone to make your picks, Yingst?  Shooting up the standings lately.

Overall, I maintain a 5 point lead over Colin and a 6 point lead over Gary.  Shawn and Folden are 8 back, and Folden fell back to 9 back.

In Pro Pick'em, Geiss holds a razor thin 1 point lead over Joe, 2 over Gary, 3 over Colin, 4 over me, and 5 over Eplin and Folden.

FANTASY FOOTBALL

Nothing much to talk about in the predictions this week, so we'll just jump ahead to Fantasy Football

In a shootout that had a combined 280 points, I beat Geiss to move to 4-5.  Geiss and I are

Jim took Joe out by 2 points and moves into sole possession of 1st place.  Joe moves down to 6th place on the playoff bubble.

Shawn got spanked by Colin.  They share the 2 and 3 spots.

Gary took care of Folden's shitty team to move to 5-4.  Folden is 1-124.

Rob narrowly beat Munez to move to 6-3.  Munez to 3-6

Eplin eeked out Hale by 5, moving to 4-5.  Hale to 3-6.

Playoffs as of right now look like this.

1. Jim
Bye

4. Rob
5. Gary

3. Colin
6. Joe

Bye
2. Shawn

As far as playoff likelihood we're getting closer to that.  There are 4 games to play.

1. Jim has a 3 game lead over the playoffs, but his point total is pretty low (tiebreaker).  Jim will likely need to go 1-3 down the stretch to get into the playoffs, so he's pretty well set.

2-4  Shawn, Rob, Colin

These 3 are the top 3 point scorers, and have a  2 game lead over the playoffs.  1-3 would likely get them in, but not for sure.  2-2 is a pretty sure thing.

5-6  Gary and Joe
7-9 Adam, Geiss, Eplin

Here's the meat of the playoff race right here.  Gary and Joe are each 5-4.  The 3 of us are 4-5.

It's likely to come down to whoever can get to 7-6 and keep a good point total.  Joe may need to go 3-1 to make the playoffs. 2-2 should be good for Gary.

Eplin's pour point total means he'll likely need to go 4-0 down the stretch.

10 -11  Hale & Munez

Lose and you're out.  That simple

12. Folden

Dead.

OVERALL POINTS

Fantasy wins + college pick'em + pro pick'em + Survivor Pool + (bonus) = Total

Jim 70+80+67
Rob 60+81+76+10
Colin 60+95+80+(20)
Shawn 60+92+76+(10)
Gary 50+94+81+(20)
Joe 50+92+82+(20)
Adam 40+100+79+10+(15)
Geiss 40+88+83+
Eplin 40+89+78+(10)
Hale 30+81+65
Munez 30+88+74
Folden 10+91+78+10+(30)


1. Colin 255
2 Gary 245
t3 Adam 244
t3 Joe 244
5 Shawn 238
6 Rob 227
7 Folden 219
t8 Jim 217
t8 Eplin 217
10 Geiss 211
11 Munez 192
12 Hale 176

So there's the standings.  To give an idea of the importance of the pick'em and bonus.  Although Folden is in last in the fantasy league, he is above Jim overall who is in first.  Makes a big difference to do well in those pick'ems.

Colin has been in 1st for 2 consecutive point updates now.  Joe has gone from 1st to 2nd to 3rd in three updates.

Obviously.  As usual.  The big updates come in about 4 weeks.  But this is how she stands as of now.







Tuesday, November 1, 2016

'Member November? I Member!

What's up Pusssssssssssy's.  It's November 1st, officially bringing in the month of Football God where we Bring.  The.  MEAT.

By the end of the month we'll have a solid idea of where we are heading down the way.  We'll be looking forward to Conference Championship week, and heading down the stretch run in the NFL's regular season.

One more month and we'll know where we all, as Jabrones, far and wide stand.

Until then, here's another point update.




SURVIVOR POOL

He who trusts in Sam Bradford doth feel the pain of a thousand loses.

The Vikings not only shit themselves Monday, but their aim was so bad they somehow missed their pants, getting crushed by the born loser (in football not in life) Jay Cutler & Company.



Let's light up a victory smoke, Jay.


That eliminates Joe and Hale and also gave Rob his first strike of the season.  So what does that mean?

Means this mother fucks.

Adam  :)
Rob    X
Folden X
Everyone Else

As far as points go, it guarentees the three of us left some mos def points.

I am guarenteed the 10 points for making it past week 9, although that won't be factored in until it's actually earned.  Rob and Folden can each get that 10 points if they survive through this week.  Other than that we are all playing for the 60, 40, 20 points that goes to 1st, 2nd, and 3rd.

If Folden and Rob were to go out this week they would split 2nd and 3rd points for 30 each.  If we all went out in the same week, we'd split the total sum of 120.  Just a heads up if we get to that point.

PICK'EMS

College pick'em was sheered by Voyten this weekend.  Putting up 12 with the next closest at 8.  Geiss and Gary led the way in the Pro Pick'em with 9 a piece.With a total of 20 on the week, Shawn also won the bonus.

Here's the way the bonus has paid out so far.

Week 1: Adam (5 pts)
Week 2: Adam, Eplin, Joe
Week 3: Folden & Joe
Week 4: Colin
Week 5: Folden
Week 6: Colin
Week 7: Folden
Week 8: Gary
Week 9: Shawn

Overall, Dan seperated himself from the crew a little bit.  He's 1 up on Joe, 4 up on Gary, 5 up on Me, Colin, Folden, and Eplin.

In College pick'em I was able to raise my lead back to 5, but where as a few weeks ago it was Folden, Myself, and Colin in contention things have changed.

I have 90, Colin, Folden and Joe are at 85, Gary and Shawn at 83.

PREDICTIONS

Green means still in it: Yellow means teetering: Red means out (for all intents and purposes).

NFC

Carolina:  They got a win this weekend keeping them with a relative chance to win their division or get a wildcard spot.  A few people have them in or winnng the NFC Championship so that's a break for us.

Arizona:  They started really shitty, but have turned it around a little bit.  They were 1-3 and now sit at 3-4-1.  Luckily for every NFC team, only 3 teams have 5 or more wins.  1 of those is the implodable Falcons, one is the collapsing Vikings, and one is Dallas, who is starting a rookie QB.  After that there are 9 teams with either 3 or 4 wins.  meaning that noone is really out of it yet.  Except the 49ers.  They just suck so bad.

Dallas:  Speaking of Dallas, they are at the top of the NFC right now, which is awesome for Voyten, Munez, and Geiss who had the stones to keep them winning the NFC East after Romo got hurt.  The bad news?  Every NFC East team is above .500 right now.

So, nothing redded out in the NFC yet.

AFC

What the fuck is going on in the AFC West?

Oakland, Denver, KC:  All 3 of these teams still are in teh division race.  None of them have more than 2 losses.  I guess Oakland has the tie breaker right now, but who the hell knows how this shakes out.

Houston, Jacksonville, Indi:  All three of these teams were picked to win the division, and so far, Houston is the only one that's living it up.  Jacksonville is about one more loss away from hitting the red though.

Jets:  Two desperation wins have kept their season alive.  And, with games against Miami and LA before their Week 11 Bye, they could reasonably get themselves back into this.  They have 2 brutal games against NE but the rest of the schedule sets up nice for them.  Win one of those against NE and beat the bad teams, New York could have a shot. Still,  I feel more comfortable with them as an Orange then as a teetering team.


COLLEGE

I tend to lean a little heavy on the college predictions during these updates, so I'll make this one a little more brief and give a bigger update next week on it.

Tennessee and Florida State.  Both of these teams had their 3rd loss of the season, so for anyone who thought there was a chance left, it went by the way side.

Stanford now has 3 losses in the PAC 12, which effectively ends their Conference championship hopes,

Here's a little one for you.  Georgia Southern and Lousiana-Lafayette have both been sucking ass in the Sun Belt, so let's red them out for Jim, Gary, and I.

That's about it there for now.

FANTASY FOOTBALL

A subtle note of the playoffs in the air

Shawn 6-2
Jim 6-2

They're both 6-2 in a year where 7-6 looks like it's going to be good enough to get into the playoffs. Two more wins should do it.

The feeling good but could be feeling better group.

Colin 5-3
Rob 5-3
Joe 5-3

Each team is above .500 and in pretty decent shape at the moment.

The Even Stevens:

Gary 4-4
Geiss 4-4

What else can you say

Help Me

Hale 3-5
Adam 3-5
Munez 3-5
Eplin 3-5

We could all use a win, 4-5 puts you in position for a stretch run.  3-6 puts you in win or go home mode.

Shoot Me

Folden 1-7

Just get a couple wins to help with the overall standings.  His season is done.

Week 9 Schedule

Gary 4-4 vs Folden 1-7

Gary needs this one.  At one point Gary was 3-1 and has been sliding ever since.  This is a good spot to get back on track.

Rob 5-3 vs Munez 3-5

Munez put an absolute pounding on Gary last week.  His receiving core is strong and at full strength.  He needs to make some waiver wire glory to be able to put up another big number. Rob has bye  week problems of his own.  David Johnson and Lamar Miller are both on Bye.  Other than that, he has a pretty decent lineup, albeit no bench.

Adam 3-5 vs Geiss 4-4

Geiss is back from the dead, I said Good Looorrddd.  3 wins in a row and he comes ready to step on my throat and send me back to the woodshed.  This is a seperation game for Geiss, as a win here pushes a 3-5 team back further and puts him in a playoff push.

Hale 3-5 vs Eplin 3-5

Talk about a go big or go home week.  Eplin is at the bottom of the league in points so, a tie breaker scenario looks bad for him.  Hale needs his team to get healthy quick.  Eplin's in an...ok situation right now.  his team is fucked on byes in week 11, so he needs to get back to .500 in the next two weeks.

Jim 6-2 vs Joe 5-3

This is the War of Attricion Battle.  They are a combined 5 games over .500 despite being 9th and 8th in scoring this year.  I predict this game score ends up somewhere around 30-29 or so.

GAME OF THE WEEK

Shawn 6-2 vs Colin 6-2

Oh Baby, oh mercy.  This is a bush burner.  This is a stick your tongue in her fart box matchup.  The two highest scoring teams in the league do BATTLE. There projection is within a point of each other. LET'S GET READY TO RUMBLE.


I was going to do a point update, but man, I wrote a lot today and didn't get a lot of work done.  AHHHHHHHHHHHH.  Til next week.  FIGHT, FIGHT, FIGHT, FIGHT!