Tuesday, November 5, 2019

Update in the City

Another wicked weekend has come and gone, and here we are knee deep in a soggy November rain, basking in the memories of warmer days.  Onto the update

NFL was wild this weekend with the hometeam winning every game except for the Monday night game.  That fucked up a lot of people's picks and a couple of survivor pools.  So let's start with that. 

Survivor Pool & Losers Pool

Survivor Pool took it's 3rd victim of the season, with Folden choosing the Browns and paying for it.  He's now in 10th in that giving him 3 points on the year for Survivor.  The point totals go as follows

3.  Folden
2. John
1. Munez

That leaves 9 people to go in this pool and man could we use some movement.  We're more then halfway done on the year, and there are still 5 people without a strike.  Those are:

Me, Alex, Gary, Hale, and Rob. 

People with one strike are: Eplin, Shawn, Joe, and Jim. 

It would figure that something has to give at some point.  For those unaware of tiebreaker rules, if we go the whole season without a winner.  The tie is broken based off of when the person got their first strike.  So at the end of the year if it's Hale and Joe as the final 2.  Hale would get first place points because he went longer without his first strike. 

If people don't have a strike, or got strikes on the first week, then I'm out of guesses and the people just split the points.  So, 12 and 11, each person would get 11.5. 

The losers pool has had significantly more movement.  Jim got knocked out by picking Pittsburgh this weekend, which puts him in 8th place gaining 5 points.  The points in this one are:

5. Jim
4. John
3. Hale
2. Alex
1. Folden

Everyone else has 1 strike, except for Shawn who is pushing along without any.  This pool could be over in any given week.  Although that's unlikely.

Pro Pick'em

After a terrible week from Alex, the pro pick'em has finally tightened up.  Shout out to Hale for obstaining on picks, realizing this week was going to be difficult.  Gary took advantage of this the most, picking up 8 points on Alex and moving into 2nd place overall.  He has a 4 game lead over me, which is where the bottleneck starts. 

8 games seperates me at 3rd and Joe at 10th.  So with 8 weeks to go in the regular season, there's plenty of room for everyone to move. 

College Pick'em

College is tight.  Munez has a 1 game lead over Rob and Shawn and a 3 game lead over Jim.  Folden and Alex are only 4 back. 

Fantasy Football

We almost had the perfect chaos weekend, but Gary's QB injury prevented him from winning.  Overall, we have 4 weeks left and everyone is still technically still in it.  Let's go through the standings. 

Joe 6-3
Rob 6-3
Shawn 6-3
Hale 6-3
Adam 5-4
Munez 5-4
John 4-5
Folden 4-5
Alex 3-6
Eplin 3-6
Jim 3-6
Gary 3-6

3 games separating 1st through 12th is pretty good variance.  four 6-3 teams, four 3-6 teams, two 5-4 teams, 2 4-5 teams.  It's almost beautiful to look at.

What does this mean for playoffs?  Well, you need to look at next week's schedule to get a better idea of where this might shake out.  Consider this the 2nd part of potential fantasy football chaos that could ensue, based off of the schedule.

1. Joe 6-3 vs 2. Rob 6-3
5. Adam 5-4 vs 6. Munez 5-4
4. Hale 6-3 vs 12. Gary 3-6
3. Shawn 6-3 vs Folden 4-5

So the first 3 games.  Rob and Joe are basically playing for 1st and a playoff spot guarenteed (based off of their points).  So there game is pretty much irrelevant for this articles purposes. 

Gary needs to win or he's done.  That simple.  He needs to win out plain and simple.

Munez and are playing at 5-4.  This means that one of the playoff teams next week will be 5-5, whether it's me, Munez, Folden, or John (if they both won)

Folden needs to beat Shawn to put himself into good position down the stretch to make the playoffs.

Here's where things get interesting, and where the playoffs more then likely start for 4 teams this weekend.

Alex 3-6 vs John 4-5
Eplin 3-6 vs Jim 3-6

Simply put, Jim or Eplin are out of it after this weekend.  And Alex is out if he loses.  John's very low points for likely puts him out if he loses too, so let's say this is playoffs starting for these teams. 

Let's put out a scenario. 

Alex wins, Gary wins, Folden wins.  Our standings next week

1. J or R 7-3
2. J or R 6-4
3. Shawn 6-4
4. Hale 6-4
5. A or M 6-4
6. A, F or M 5-5
7. A, F, or M 5-5

Then you have

John 4-6
Alex 4-6
Gary 4-6
Jim or Eplin 4-6


If this happens, we'll have 5 teams within one game of the playoffs with 3 to play.  That's where things go nuts. 

Bonus Points: 

I'm going to do a full on bonus point update here soon and let everyone know where they stand. 


Pro & College Predictions: 

We're 1 week away from when college predictions can be talked about.  That, fantasy and bonus points will be the soul update for next week. 




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