Thursday, January 10, 2019

Big Changes Thanks to that Clemson Ass whoopin'

Quite the headline I know, but it really sort of fits in for the group.  To give a little background on the history of FBG we've been predicting the College & Pro Championships since the beginning.  The reason why those are worth significantly more points then other things is because it's relatively to predict just right.  So, in the course of our league, it's been a nice reward to give the people who are able to accurately predict the champion a bit of a leg up for doing so.

This year is not like every other year.  Since August everyone knew it was probably going to end up Clemson vs Alabama.  Sure, some people picked Georgia to mix it up, and Eplin in explicitly picked Wisconsin, but the likelihood of Clemson vs Alabama was high.  Because of that going into the last game of the season we were going to see a huge swing in the points either way.

With most people having one of the forms of Clemson and Alabama, whoever got it right was getting 10 points (in most cases) and the loser was getting nothing.  Below were the standings going into the final game.

Gary 27
Munez 26
Kemp 25
Eplin 24
Hale 23
Adam 22
Joe 22
John 19
Jim 19
Rob 18
Folden 18
Voyten 11

This would be the final standings if Alabama had won:

Munez 36
Hale 33
Joe 32
Eplin 30
Kemp 29
Folden 28
Gary 27
John 23
Adam 22
Jim 19
Rob 18
Voyten 11

Here are the final standings with Clemson winning

Gary 37 (7)
Adam 32 (6)
Jim 29 (5)
Munez 26 (5)
Kemp 25 (5)
Eplin 24 (4)
Rob 24 (4)
Hale 23 (4)
Joe 22 (4)
John 19 (3)
Folden 18 (3)
Voyten 11 (2)

Other than the fact that in either case, Shawn is woefully in last place, there are giant swings.  Remember this when we get to the standings this week.

With that, Gary gets 5 bonus points, I get 3 bonus points, and Jim gets 2 bonus points.  In addition to this I counted up our total prediction points.  In the rules, it stated that for every 5 points you score in the predictions you get a bonus point.  The bonus points are in parenthesis above.

Bonus Points

Giving an update on where we stand on bonus points:  Keep in mind this is with the 1 bonus point per prediction in College pick'em but NOT in the pro pick'em:  Obviously, those top 3 bonus's are coming into play more and more.

Munez 26
Adam 24
Hale 22.5
Gary 21
Kemp 17.5
Rob 17
Joe 17
Jim 17
John 16
Folden 15.5
Eplin  12
Shawn  12

Bowl Pick'em
Onto our bowl pick'em.  It appears nothing changed in the pick'em.  Meaning our final winner is Shawn, followed by Kemp, and then Me.  The bonus points will go out 5, 3, and 2.

Final ROTO points per person.

Shawn 12
Kemp 11
Adam 10
Eplin 9
Rob 8
Folden 7
Hale 6
Joe 4.5
John 4.5
Gary 3
Jim 2
Munez 1

Pro Pick'em

There were slight changes in pro pick'em this week.  Mainly with Gary jumping up to 4th.  This is still really close, with 2 games seperating Gary, Joe, and Shawn for 4th place.  Hale and Sahwn tied for 7th.  These last few games could make the difference in close standings in the finish.

Pro Predictions

John 26
Hale 24
Rob 21
Joe 21
Kemp 21
Jim 20
Adam 18
Eplin 17
Shawn 16
Munez 13
Gary 12
Folden 12

That are the current standings in the Pro Predictions.  And these are the points still to go out.

MVP
Offensive Rookie of the Year
Comeback player of the Year
Coach of the Year
Defensive Rookie of the Year
Defensive Player of the year
AFC & NFC Championship Game losers
Super Bowl Loser
Super Bowl Winner


So, in the next few weeks we'll settle the bonus points category, pro predictions, and pro pick'em. 

So let's see what's changed.  Our standings last update

1. Rob 78.5
2. Joe 74
3. Hale 72.5
4. Munez 67.5
5. Adam 62
6. Folden 61.5
7. John 57.5
8. Eplin 51.5
9. Shawn 51
10. Kemp 49
11. Jim 39
12. Gary 38.5

Now let's see where everyone would stand if Alabama had won last week.


Joe 72.5
Hale 72.5
Rob 70
Munez 67
Folden 65.5
Adam 60
John 59.5
Eplin 54
Kemp 53.5
Shawn 49.5
Gary 40.5
Jim 39

Finally, let's take a look at where we actually stand, solely becaue Clemson beat Alabama, instead of the other way around.

Rob 78
Joe 67.5
Adam 67
Hale 67
Munez 64
Folden 58.5
John 56.5
Kemp 54.5
Eplin 52
Shawn 49.5
Jim 47
Gary 46.5

Unreal how a few bonus points and a jump in the standings can change everything.  Essentially it looks like Rob has it locked up.  He'd have to drop 11 points to one of the 3 people below him, and I don't think there's enough variance left for that to happen.

The interesting thing now is between 2nd and 5th.  Only half a point seperate 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.  With Munez still only a couple of points back.  With us all having different Superbowls, it'll probably come down to that game to decide who finishes in the money, and who finishes out.


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