Tuesday, November 27, 2018

Crunch Time

We've reached championship week in college football, so for the first time I'm able to close out a lot of people's picks.  And, I'll tell you this guys.  We did pretty shitty.  Taking anything Alabama or Clemson out of the mix, and we did below average at best.  I"m attaching the spreadsheet to the the facebook page for you guys to be able to compare.

Amazingly, Munez still has a chance to get all 4 of the final four correct.  He's the only person who can boast that at this point.  John, Kemp, Gary, Rob, and Voyten all have the ability to get 3 but they all have Georgia and Alabama.

Conference champions are similar.  Munez & Kemp have the lead with the ability to get 7 of the 10 conferences correct.  Gary, Shawn, Me, John, & Hale have 6 possibles.  Everyone else has 5 or 4.

The only predictions we can say safely at the moment are the Top 10 team to fall out of the Top 25 prediction.  Those of us that said Miami, Auburn, or Wisconsin are safe.  That's me, Folden, Rob, Joe, Gary, Eplin, & Kemp.

The Coaches that will get fired are pretty much settled as well.

Shawn & I said Lovie Smith, who got an extension, so that ain't happening.

David Beatty, Larry Fedora, DJ Durkin, have gotten everyone else points.  I'm still waiting on a decision to be made about Bob Davie in New Mexico for Kemp.

The finalists for the awards have been released too, but we'll go over those next week.

The Pro Predictions are starting to formulate, but I'll go over those next week too, once we're at the 3/4 point in the season.

College Pick'em is down to the last week of the season.  There are 8 games to choose from, and the separation at the top is only 1 game.  Munez sits at 137, with John at 136.  Folden has an outside chance at 134.  Probably a better chance for 2nd.  Those 3 will finish top 3, with Eplin 4 back of Folden.  The rest of us need to jockey for position for the final standings on this one.

Pro Pick'em is tight as well.  Three games seperate 2nd thru 6th, with Munez sitting in first by a few games.

No changes in the losers or survivor pools last week.  Only a few weeks to go.

Bonus Points

I had the highest score in fantasy earning a bonus point, while Joe was the highest scoring losing team, earning 0.5 bonus points.
Jim & John earned the bonus points for the pick'em last week.  Joe, Rob, & John also earned a bonus point for making it 4 more weeks alive in the losers pool.

So, this may be confusing, but I'll type out the bonus points up to this point, and also attach the spreadsheet.

Fantasy Football Bonus Points

Hale 7
Adam 5
Jim 3.5
Joe 3
Folden 2.5
Munez 2.5
Eplin 2
Rob 1.5
Shawn 1.5
Gary 1
John 1
Kemp 0.5

Pick'em Bonus

Munez 5.5
Kemp 4.5
Folden 4
Gary 2.5
Jim 2
John 2
Eplin 2
Joe 1.5
Rob 1
Hale 1
Shawn 0
Adam 0


Pool Bonus

Rob 3
John 3
Joe 3
Munez 2

Bonus Point Standings

Munez 10
Hale 8
Joe 7.5
Folden 6.5
John 6
Rob 5.5
Jim 5.5
Kemp 5
Adam 5
Eplin 4
Gary 3
Shawn 1.5

After next week I'll be able to mock up our standings overall for the first time, this will be a category inside of this.


This is our final week of the regular season of fantasy football.  And, this shit is full of drama.

Joe put up 160 points and lost, and the things that happened below him were enough to lower his playoff chances.

Folden beat Munez in a tight game that now has him in the playoff picture and Munez outside.

Eplin lost a tight one to Hale knocking him out of the picture.

Rob won his 3rd in a row getting back into the playoffs.

Shawn won on a 97 yard TD run by Lamar Miller on Monday night that not only saved his season, but kept Kemp on skid row at an unreal 0-12.

Here's our final week scenario.

First round byes locked in

Adam 10-2
Hale 9-3

It's pretty amazing at this point in the year that Hale and I are seperated by only 5 points.  We both have 200 points more then the next closest team to us.  Pretty dominant so far by both of our teams.

3.  Joe 7-5
4. Folden 7-5
5. Shawn 7-5
6. Rob 7-5
7. Eplin 6-6
8. Munez 6-6

Joe vs Gary
Folden vs Adam
Shawn vs Hale
Rob vs Kemp
Eplin vs John
Munez vs Jim

It's pretty unreal that none of the 6 of you play each other.  So, scenarios.

Obviously if 3-6 win they are all in.  Or any of them win they are in.

If Joe and/or Folden lose and Eplin wins then the point tiebreaker will come into play. 65 points separates the 3 of them. Eplin passing one of those two is the only way those 2 don't end up in the playoffs.

Shawn & Rob are in a more dangerous situation, as Munez can pass them as well.

If Rob and/or Shawn lose, and Eplin wins, he's in.  He has the tie breaker.  If Munez wins there are 30 points seperating Munez, Shawn, and Rob.

So, Eplin's hoping for 1 of 4 teams to lose, and for him to win.  Munez is hoping for 1 of 2 teams to lose and win his game.

Gary, Jim, and John are still playing for 9th -11th.  Kemp clinched dead last many weeks ago.  I actually will give you guys an overall point update.  Just so you can see how volatile it is.


At this point read the point link in the facebook post.
9 3 32

Obviously most of those numbers can change.  I have 12 for being in first in fantasy but that could go down to 9.  Joe, who has 10 points in fantasy could go down as far as 6 by next week. 

The pools that are still going on, I took the median number of what the person's high and low was.  So for instance, Joe, John, and Rob's range in the losers pool is 12-10, so I gave them each 11 for this projection.  

These scores also don't include college predictions, pro predictions and the bowl games.  

But now you get a sense of how the scoring works.  Where all previous years was an accumulation of points, this is an evolution of points that can change as we go.  The only points set in stone here so far are about half of the losers pool and survivors pools.  And of course Kemp being in dead last in fantasy football.

See you next week.

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