11-13-18 Update

Tis the season where the updates nearly come weekly.  Let's get into what changed from last week and see where we go.

SURVIVOR POOL

Not much changed this week.  Losers pool everyone was victorious and the survivor pool had a blip on the radar.  Shawn chose the Falcons, which turned out not to be a very good pick, as the Browns decimated them.

So, we still have Rob & John without a loss on the year, Joe & Munez with one loss fighting for the top spot. 

After that we have 5 people fighting for 5th place. 

Survivor Pool is still a race for 2nd place.  7 people remain.  Hale, Folden, Eplin, and Joe are without a strike.  Me, Jim, and Shawn have one strike. 

PREDICTION

I'm predicting a real blood bath this week.  The other shoe has to drop at some point and it feels like this is going to be the week where we see some people lose. 

PICK'EMS

Quick updates on these, the pick'em bonus was a tie between Eplin, Joe, Folden, and Munez this week with 19 picks a piece.

In other news, Wisconsin has now been eliminated from the Big 10.  A lot of people chose them to go far this year, so this has to be the biggest disappointment amongst all the picks so far.

FANTASY FOOTBALL

As I do down the stretch in fantasy season, I want to take the time go through the standings and each person's updated playoff chances.

John beat Kemp, keeping his team's chances alive.

Eplin beat Jim, eliminating Jim from postseasons chances and helping his own. 

Hale scored more than double what Gary did, putting him on the ropes.  Hale earned the full point bonus for most points scored.

I needed a 100 yard, 2 td performance from Matthew Breida on Monday night to eek out a win again Munez. (Munez got the 1/2 point losers bonus)

Rob beat Joe to close in on him and some others in the playoffs. 

Folden beat Shawn, delivering Shawn his 4th loss in 5 games. 

Standings.

1. Adam 8-2
2. Hale 7-3
3. Joe 6-4
4. Folden 6-4
5. Munez 6-4
6. Shawn 6-4
7. Eplin 5-5
8. Rob 5-5
9. Gary 4-6
10. John 4-6
11. Jim 3-7
12. Kemp 0-10

In a side note I don't think we've ever had a team go winless in Football God's fantasy league.

Playoff chances.

Sure thing 99.9%
Adam - I don't think there's a way I can't make the playoffs now, unless if I scored 50 a game, lost out, and a bunch of things went against me.  I'm 2 games up (with tiebreakers) on the BYE.  I'll be playing for that position and guarenteed top 4.

Damn Near sure thing

Hale 97% - Hale would need to lose out at this point, and even that may not be enough to keep him out, as he has the tiebreaker over everyone.  He's 2 games up on the playoffs, and will lock things up for sure with a win this week.

Muddled chances.
Joe & Folden 65%
Shawn & Munez 53%

The difference between the top 2 and bottom 2 here is the points scored.  Eplin is one game back of both of them, and would jump them in the event of a tie.  Joe & Folden are too close in points to Eplin to say who would win the tiebreaker at this point.

Eplin 45%
I think everything that needed said about Eplin's chances were said in the paragraph above.

Rob 33%
Rob's chances improved with a win.  It also helped him that Gary lost, who he jumped, and that 3 of the 6-3 teams lost.  He's still a game back, and even if he ended up in a tie for 6th this week, he'd be losing the tiebreaker.  Rob's going to win out most likely to make the playoffs. 

Gary & John 5%
Gary has a little bit of an edge over John, because of his points scored.  Winning out and hoping for a lot of things to fall their way is the only chances.

Jim & Kemp 0%


Week 11 Schedule

Eplin 5-5 vs Kemp 0-10 
Jim 3-7 vs Shawn 6-4
Rob 5-5 vs Folden 6-4
Adam 8-2 vs Gary 4-6
Joe 6-4 vs Munez 6-4
Hale 7-3 vs John 4-6

If Rob and Jim win, we'll see some big percentage changes next week.  Let's see how it plays out.