We are closing in on the conference champions and the first big point shake up of the season.
Looking at the chart, there isn't a clear cut leader heading down the stretch. Most people have a couple of playoff teams that aren't going to make it. Most people have a couple of teams winning their conference that isn't going to happen.
So, there is no real reason to project much for now. Instead we'll just do a normal update.
It's been three weeks since the last survivor pool update, and it's only led to one casualty. Geiss picked the Saints in Week 9, leading to his elimination. Week 10 had Joe, Rob, Shawn, and I all picking Carolina.
New Orleans was universally the worst pick of the season for everyone. They were responsible for 7 strikes this year, the Cardinals and Ravens the next closest with 3 strikes a piece.
Basically, the Survivor Pool could end any week now. Exciting finish.
The college pick'em has fluctuated again. A couple of weeks ago Civ had a commanding lead. After a couple rough'ens, Colin now sits on top with 108 points. Rob and I are behind at 105, Civ at 104. Folden, Eplin, and Shawn are at 102 and 101.
With 3 weeks to go, it'll be difficult for anyone else to catch up, unless they have a monster week this week.
The Pro Pick'em is similar. Folden had a big lead, and squandered it with a very bad week 10 performance. Because of that he's opened the door for people to get back into it, he now shares the lead with Jim at 92 points.
Rob and Joe are 3 points back at 89. Shawn and I are at 87. Geiss is at 86. After that there is a drop off.
Week 1: Adam, Dan, Eplin (5 point)
Week 2: Adam
Week 3: Colin, Gary, Munez
Week 4: Folden
Week 5: Jim, Gary, Civ
Week 6: Civ
Week 7: Civ, Voyten
Week 8: Adam
Week 9: Folden
Week 10: Folden
Week 11: Adam
Those are the pick'em bonuses so far this year, along with how many points each person has earned in them.
Since our last update, Folden won the bous 2 weeks in a row, while I won this most recent week. Folden, Civ, and I are dominating the bonuses this year, with Gary doing pretty well too.
With 3 weeks to go in the regular season, we finally have our first playoff spot clinched. At 8-2 Folden has punched his ticket.
Right behind him at 7-3 is Civ, Jim, and Colin. Each needing one more win to clinch their spot as well. Jim and Folden are in position for the 1st round byes at this time.
Civ is on a 7 game winning streak since starting the season 0-3, pretty impressive. Colin is 7-3 despite being 8th in points scored, and also being a huge douchebag.
Rob and I are both at 5-5 and on the ledge of the playoffs.
Behind us at 4-6 are Joe, Eplin, Munez, and Shawn.
At this point, Geiss is officially eliminated from playoff contention, and Gary is very very close. For Gary to get into the playoffs he would have to win out and hope that he wins a point tie breaker against any other 6-7 teams that may be tied for 6th. One more loss and he's certainly done. And, even if he wins out he may be out too.
For Rob and I at 5-5 we sort of have a 2 game lead over the 4-6 teams. We have more than 100 points more than any of them, so we would win a tie breaker against any of them. Joe, Eplin, Munez, and Shawn need to win and hope that we lose to have a shot going down the stretch.
The playoff picture looks like this right now
Fantasy wins 10 pts + college pick'em score + pro pick'em score + (bonus)
Folden 80+102+92+(30)= 304
1. Folden 304
2. Civ 282
3. Adam 277
4. Colin 268
5. Jim 266
6. Rob 244
7. Shawn 238
8. Munez 229
8. Eplin 229
10. Joe 227
11. Gary 222
12. Geiss 208
Obviously these stats are very driven by fantasy point totals. There has been less separation in the pick'ems than usual. Bonus points and fantasy points are the main decider so far.
The next update will be the week of Conference championships. So we can have one more update before things go fucking insane.