11/28/17 Update

I figured I'd come in with a back to back update since next week shit's about to get nasty.

FANTASY FOOTBALL

This is our last week of fantasy and here's where we stand. 

According to Yahoo Eplin and Rob are the only two people who have clinched playoff spots, but that's bullshit. 

Eplin has clinched the 1, Rob the 2, and Hale and Folden are in for sure. 

I'm currently the 5 seed at 6-6, with Jim the #6 seed at 6-6 and Gary #7 at 6-6. 

Behind that Colin, John, and Joe all sit at 5-7. 

So, what can still realistically happen? 

Let's start with Joe & John.  Only 5 points seperate them for the season, so they're both in pretty much the same boat.  John plays Hale so he can't really help his cause.  Joe would need to beat me.  Eplin to beat Jim.  Here's the problem for both of them though.  Gary plays Colin. 

If Joe beats me that would put him at 6-6, same as me.  But I have the point tiebreaker.  So, that only leaves the 6 seed.  Since Colin plays Gary, they pretty much elminates John and Joe.  If Gary wins he's 7-6, which Joe and John can't match; and if Colin wins, he's 6-7 and ha a 100 point lead over Joe and John in the tiebreakers. 

So, they're both essentially elminated. 

Colin's road to the playoffs is easier.  He needs to beat Gary and hope that one of two things happen.  #1 Jim loses or #2 I lose and he's able to make up the 52 point difference between us he would need in a tiebreaker.  Tough, but not impossible. 

Gary essentially needs to win and hope Jim or I lose, or He wins and is able to jump the 20 point difference between him and Jim.

My road is easiest, win and in.

COLLEGE PICK'EM

The pick'em is tight as dick skin.  Munez is at 140 with Jim at 139.  With only 7 games on the docket this weekend, this is pretty much your championship round.

Joe is in 3rd with 136, so he could slide into 2nd if one of the two does bad enough.  Eplin, Gary, and Folden are all tied in 4th at 132, which 4th is good for 10 points, but if you have to split it 4 ways, it's relatively meaningless.

PRO PICK'EM

Folden holds a 2 point lead over Jim and Joe, while Rob sits 3 back. 

BONUS

Rob earned the pick'em bonus this year, for his first bonus points of the season, while Colin earned the 5 point fantasy bonus. 


This coming week is the last 10 point bonus of the season for the pick'em.  It reverts to a 5 point bonus for the rest of the season.  Next week is also the last 5 point fantasy football bonus of the year. 

PREDICTIONS

I'm going to start with the NFL, because they are more speculative at the moment, but things are getting clearer. 

DIVISION WINNERS

CERTAIN
   - Philly (picked by  adam, shawn, folden, munez)

They need to win one more game, or Dallas or Washington lose a game.  out of the next 5.  This shit is done. 

NEAR CERTAIN

Pittsburgh & New England (picked by everyone)
Minnesota (picked by noone)

Each of these three teams has a 3 game lead with 5 to play. 


SLIM LEADS
Kansas City (picked by Hale)
    They once looked like a lock, and now only have a 1 game lead over the Chargers and Raiders, both of which were picked by everyone else. 

Los Angeles Rams (picked by noone) have a one game lead over Seattle (picked by everyone)

TOSS UP
Tennessee (picked by me, shawn, colin, rob, eplin, and hale) are tied at 7-4 with Jacksonville who noone picked.  Houston was picked by many people and are not going to win. 

New Orleans and Carolina are both 8-3 with Atlanta one game back at 7-4.  This shit's nuts.  No idea at the moment. 


COLLEGE PREDICTIONS

The individual award finalists have announced.  Feel free to look up and see if you had anyone in the finals.  I think everyone had one person at least.  Some people had as many as 3.

CONFERENCE TITLE GAMES

ACC - John is the only person to take either Clemson or Miami, and he'll benefit if the Hurricanes win. 

AAU  - Memphis vs UCF
Noone had either of them, so it's a loss.

BIG 10 - Ohio St vs Wisconsin
Most people had Ohio state, however Me, Hale, and Shawn had Wisconsin.  Rob & Jim's picks have already been elminated.

Big 12 Oklahoma vs TCU
There are 5 people with Oklahoma winning the Big 12, with trendy pick Ok St fizzling out.  Hale has the most to benefit here, having them both winning the Big 12 and in the Playoff.

Conference USA FAU vs North Texas. 
Noone of us had either.

MAC Akron vs Toledo
All of us had Toledo except Munez.

MWC
Fresno st vs Boise st
Boise was picked by shawn, joe, munez, rob, john, and eplin.

Pac 12
USC VS STANFORD
We all had USC so it's irrelvant

SEC
Auburn vs Georgia
None of us win.  we all lose. 

The sunbelt will be figured out this weekend too.  They are starting a conference championship next year, but in the meantime.  this is it. 

POINT TOTALS

Keep in mind.  After this week shit's going to change a lot.  The college pick'em bonus will be in and all of our conference championships, as well as the final four. 

Fantasy (15 pts) + pro pick'em + college pick'em + bonus points

Eplin 135+110+132+20
Rob 120+112+128+10
Folden 105+115+132+35
Hale 105+109+116+25
Adam 90+103+128+25
Jim 90+113+139+70
Gary 90+110+132+85
Colin 75+109+127+15
Joe 75+113+136+55
John 75+102+124+35
Shawn 60+105+129+5
Munez 60+107+140+30


Totals

Gary 420
Jim 412
Eplin 397
Folden 387
Joe 379
Rob 370
Hale 355
Adam 346
Munez 337
John 336
Colin 326
Shawn 299

So here we go.  Our base scores are set.  Now shit's about to get nutty.  next week baby-o.