Super Bowl Predictions
Here are all the teams that people predicted to win the Superbowl
Baltimore 5-2, New England 5-2, Pittsburgh 6-2, Green Bay 7-0, San Diego (5-2 or 4-3, the game is still on, New Orleans 5-3, Jets 4-3, Phili 3-4. So, that's 8 different teams with Super Bowl representation, and none of them have fallen out of things. Most have thrived, with the exception of Phili, but they seem to have things together a little bit better now.
Playoff Picture
If the playoffs started today that would look like this.
Buffalo (?!?!)
Pittsburgh
Houston
San Diego/KC/Oakland (i don't know the fucking tie break)
would be the division winners, with
NE
Baltimore
Cinci
all tied for the wildcard. While none of us had Cinci or Buffalo in the playoffs, the rest of these predictions are pretty stout
As for what that means for us, the people with the best predictions in the AFC so far are Munez, Geiss, Joe, Bono, and Andrew. They each have Houston, SD, Pitt, and NE winning their divisions aside from Andrew who has the Jets (which could still very well happen)
BAD Predictions
The worst prediction of the year as far as AFC division winners goes has to be me, John, Colin, Simon, and Folden taking the winless Colts. Also, Jim and Shawn's Denver pick for the AFC west is pretty bad. Other than that, there are still a couple of big random picks that could still help people get some big points. Shawn was the only one to take the Titans to win the South and Folden has the Raiders winning the West. If either of those happen that is a big point swing for either one of those two.
In the wildcard, we all still look pretty good. Everybody has relevant teams, that could very well work out for them.
In the NFC the playoff picture looks like this
GB
NO
NYG
SF
wildcard
DET
Tampa Bay (holds tie break over ATL right now)
The worst prediction of the year right now is our collective picks for the NFC West. STL, ARI, and SEA were all picked, but the 49ers were not, and considering they will clinch their division in about 2 weeks I don't think any of us will get any points there.
Nobody had the Giants winning their division either, and I know there is plenty of time for them to blow this, but as for now they have a two game lead over Dallas and Phili, who we all picked. We all look good in the North, taking the Packers, and we all have either ATL, Tampa, or NO in the South, which is still pretty much up for grabs.
I am the only one who took the Lions in the wildcard, so assuming they keep things up, and don't falter back to 2007 Lions (who also started 6-2, only to finish out of the playoffs) I should make some pretty good points there.
In the wildcard, every pick is still pretty relevant.
Funniest pick of the year (so far)
All of our picks for the top 3 draft picks next year.
10 of us picked the Bengals (5-2)
5 took the 49ers (6-1)
5 took the Bills (5-2)
2 took Oakland (4-3)
That's 22 of the 36 picks total, where the team currently has a winning record, and that's not including the 3 of us who took Washington (3-4) to make the bottom 3. Although, let's be honest, they could lose their last 9 games this season and I don't think it would suprise anybody.
John (JAC, SF, Miami) and Munez (Cin, Jac, Car) seem to have the best picks in this so far, with Miami.
Speaking of Munez, it's halfway through the 3rd quarter of the Chiefs v SD game, and Nick Novak just kicked his second field goal of the game, meaning that Munez has taken the lead in his fantasy game and will officially end his 6 game losing streak. Congrats bud, being on a 5 game losing streak this year, I know it's shitty and frustrating. Which is the perfect transition into Fantasy Football.
But first, on a college prediction update, Wisconsin dropped it's second game in a row, which makes Andrew and Shawn's Wisconsin pick for the National Championship pretty much irrelevant. They join Folden (FSU) in the bread line.
LSU plays Alabama this week, which will go a long way to seeing how the National Championship is going to play out. 11 of us had Alabama, so this game has obvious implications. However, if Alabama loses this weekend, I want to bring up what could be an interesting scenario. If Arkansas keeps winning, and ends up beating LSU in the last game of the season, we will have LSU with 1 loss to ARK, Bama with 1 loss to LSU, and ARK with one loss to Alabama. We could realistically have 3 SEC teams in the top 5 of the BCS.
I'm not really sure how the tie break would work for the SEC championship game, but it could lead to an interesting situation, considering that Arkansas has quietly crawled back into the National Championship conversation. This would depend on if Stanford were to lose, and what would happen with Boise St and the Oklahoma's squared. Now onto Fantasy Football, I mean it this time.
FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEK 8
I'm labeling this week in fantasy football as the week when defenses went wild, as if they were horny, drunk, and (let's be honest) drugged college girls. What do I mean? Let's look into three games from this week. Let's start with the marquee match up of the week with 5-2 Colin playing 4-3 Shawn
Colin beat Shawn by 40 points this week, but when you look at the matchups, it was a lot closer than it should have been a lot closer, except for the fact that Detroits defense put up 33 fucking points! Tim Tebow turned out being the best player on Colin's team this week. Which is odd, considering I thought he was on Geiss's roster. Colin moves to 6-2, while Shawn loses his 3rd in a row to fall to 4-4.
Munez 1-6 played Simon 4-3. Simon has to swallow his second straight close loss, while Munez won mainly because of Buffalo's defense putting up 32 points! Simon has won a couple of close games this year, including a game against Joe in week two, in which he one by .3 points. The law of averages would imply that if you play enough close games you'll win half and lose half. Well, Simon is at 4-4 so it seems to be true in this case.
Folden won his league best 5th straight game this week against Geiss, on the strength of Cincinnati's D putting up 26 points for him. If I were a gambling man, I would not bet on Geiss's team ever. They have the potential to put up 150 or 30 points in any given week, and it's impossible to predict. Folden has won 5 straight, although his team has not scored more than 110 points in any of those games, and not breaking 100 in two of them. I remember talking to Shawn before his week 4 match up with Folden. Shawn told me then that Folden's team (which was 0-3 at the time) seemed so bad he couldn't see him winning a game all year. Not only did Folden win that game, but he hasn't looked back since.
Andrew beat John this week, despite putting up only 70 points. How do you ask? John started 3 players that were on bye, 1 who was injured, and he just left one of his WR spots completely open. Good for Andrew who tries to win in Football God. Fuck John for not taking 10 minutes out of his week to set his roster. Andrew moves to 5-3, good for you Andrew.
Joe wins his second straight low scoring game against Bono, who can't catch a fucking break with his team. He has a great QB, and three of the best receivers in the game on his team, but his running back corps is dreadful.
And, in the last game I played Jim. When your fantasy team does as poorly as mine has, you start to hang on to little victories to stop yourself from being bored. so, it's been my goal to continue my winning streak against Jim going. This happened with me blowing Jim's team out this week, despite him scoring (on average) 28 points more than me a game this week. What happened was I caught a couple of lucky breaks, one being that Jim had 4 players on bye, including his best running back, and Drew Brees kinda shit the bed this week. So, the winning streak continues, and assuming I don't crawl back into this thing and make the playoffs, Jim and I won't be playing each other again this season. So, it looks like the streak will go on another year.
Standings
Colin 6-2
Jim 5-3
Joe 5-3
Andrew 5-3
Folden 5-3
Shawn 4-4
Simon 4-4
Geiss 3-5
John 3-5
Adam 3-5
Bono 3-5
Munez 2-6
The cut off for playoffs now is 4-4, with Simon and Shawn tied there. The tie break for playoffs is most points, so right now the playoff picture looks like this.
Byes - Colin, Jim
First round - Folden, Shawn, Joe, and Andrew
However, the next four teams are only one game out, and if Munez can catch a little steam here, he can get back into this too.
Next Week's Matchups
Jim 5-3 v Munez 2-6 - Speaking of Munez (again)...To get catch a little steam he's going to have to do this against Jim. This may be harder than it sounds though, as Jim will be back to full strength with his team. Munez, however, won't have any players on bye, so he will need to pull an upset, but it could work out for him. I'm taking Jim 140 - Munez 120
Colin 6-2 v Adam 3-5 - I'm riding a three game win streak, and one more win from becoming a real player down the stretch, but I'll have to do it against our leagues power house. Luckily, I won't have to go against Calvin Johnson, who has scored 300 td's in the first half of the season. However, Colin is good because he is deep, and has Malcolm Floyd to sub in. I won't predict this game, because Colin's team puts up like 150 a week, and I don't want to pick against myself.
Bono 3-5 v Simon 4-4 - If Bono's going to get back into this thing, he can help himself a lot with a win against Simon. Bono has been sliding (3 straight losses), but Simon is starting to as well (2 straight losses). Neither has anybody important on bye, and Bono may be getting Andre Johnson back. I'm going to take Bono in this one, 125 - 102
Geiss 3-5 v Joe 5-3 - This is another big game as far as playoff implications go. And Geiss is going against Joe at the perfect time. Joe's team has won the last two games, although in unimpressive fashion, and Joe has Jones-Drew, Steve Smith 3.0, Percy Harvin, and Nate Burleson all on bye. If Geiss's team shows up, which is a big BUT, he should be able to win this one. I'll take this game as my UPSET OF THE WEEK MOTHAFUCKA pick.
Shawn 4-4 v John 3-5 - this game is a real wildcard. Shawn 5 players, including ALL of his running backs on bye this week. However, he's playing John, who probably won't make any substitutions. My prediction on this week is final score Shawn 35 John 26.
GAME OF THE WEEK
Andrew 5-3 v Folden 5-3
Something has to give in the standings this week, and it's going to happen in this game. One of these two is going to move into good position in the standings, while the other will get pushed towards the middle of the pack. I want to take Andrew in this game. I like his team and his matchups a lot better. But, it's dumb to bet against the hot team. I'll go with Folden in this one 95 - 85
College Pick 'em
Andrew DOMINATES in College pick 'em taking it down again this week. Bono and I were right behind with 9. For the season, Andrew has a four game lead, with Bono, me, Simon, and Shawn in striking distance. For the season:
Andrew 106
Bono 102
Adam 101
Simon 100
Shawn 100
Geiss 98
Folden 98
Munez 97
Colin 96
Joe 96
Jim 94
John 75
Pro Football Pick 'em
Colin takes this week down again with 10 points, while Joe, Folden, and Simon scored 9. Colin has extended his lead in this pick 'em, yet again, and here are the standings.
Colin 86
Folden 82
Bono 76
Shawn 76
Simon 76
Munez 73
Andrew 73
Jim 72
Joe 71
Geiss 69
Adam 67
John 64
So, for the bonus this week, it's going to be a lot of us. 17 points was the best anyone did, so I'm posting everyone's score this week.
Colin 17
Adam 17
Bono 17
Simon 16
Folden 16
John 16
Andrew 16
Joe 16
Geiss 16
Andrew 16
Rowing 16
Shawn 12
So, we were all (aside for Shawn) one point away from the bonus, but me, bono, and colin got the 5 points this week.
So, our totals as of now will be college pick'em + pro pick'em + fantasy (10 points per win) + (bonus) = total score.
Andrew 106+73+50+(10)=239
Bono 102+76+30+(15)=223
Adam 101+67+30+(5)=203
Simon 100+76+40+(5)=221
Shawn 100+76+40=216
Geiss 98+69+30=197
Folden 98+82+50+(10)=240
Munez 97+73+20=190
Joe 96+71+50+(5)=222
Colin 96+ 86+60+(15)=257
Jim 94+72+50+(5)=221
John 75+64+30=169
Total Rankings
1. Colin 257 (even)
2. Folden 240 (even)
3. Andrew 239 (even)
4. Bono 223 (+3)
5. Joe 222 (+3)
t6 Simon 221 (-2)
t6 Jim 221 (-2)
8. Shawn 216 (-2)
9. Adam 203 (+1)
10. Geiss 197 (-1)
11. Munez 190 (even)
12. John 169 (even)
Thoughts
Colin has led in each of the 5 football god updates I've done this season.
There are 7 points total between 4th and 8th.
In the last four football god updates Simon has been tied with Folden twice, and Jim twice. The first time he tied, he was tied for 6th. He is still tied for 6th.
I have climbed one spot in each of the past three updates.
Shawn has fallen 5 spots in the past three updates.
Andrew and Folden's fantasy football game is essentially for 2nd place, for now.
Next week, we may have the first of our college football predictions coming in. If not next week, certainly by the week after. Until then, I love you all.
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