Tuesday, December 13, 2016

Points and Points and Points

Word up, scumbags.

It's snowing outside, accumulating and accumulating, just as the points are starting to in FG9.  Here's the changes since last week.

Fantasy Playoffs

Joe kicked the hell out of Gary.  Look at it this way.  Leveon Bell put up 60 points.  Gary's whole team put up 68.

Shawn relied on the kicking of Justin Tucker to squeak by Rob.

Semi Finals

Joe vs Jim

Shawn Vs Colin

The winners of this game will be guarenteed 40 points, and a chance for 60.

The losers will play a 3rd place game for 20 points.

SURVIVOR POOL

Rob and I both picked Detroit, and they won.  The Survivor Pool never ends.  Never ends.  Never ends.  3 weeks left and we each have 1 strike.  60 points to 1st, 40 to 2nd, and 50 to each if we go the distance or go out on the same week.

BOWL PICK'EM

Get your dick's hard boys, the bowl games are starting this week.  points for each correct game, 5 points for picking the new year's 6.  10 for the championship.

30, 20, 10 points go out to the people with the highest game total wins. We WILL be using the tie breaker of the CFP Championship game to decide any ties.  So make sure you fill that out.

PRO PICK'EM

With 3 weeks to play, there is another change at the leaderboard.  Happens every week recently.  Geiss and I are now tied for 1st, Gary is 2 back, Colin 3 back.  Joe 5 back.

With 3 weeks, and 48 games left, it's likely down to us 5 trying to get the 3 bonus spots.

Rob and I each earned a 5 point bonus this week for the pro pick'em.

Predictions.

We have one official prediction in, and that's Jeff Fisher being fired by the Rams.  That gives 15 points to Jim, Joe, Rob, and Colin.

There are a few more that should be figured out soon in almost certainty.  Seattle, New England, and Dallas could win their division any week.

Cleveland is 1 loss away from officially clinching a bottom 3 pick. San Fran as well.

Total Score

College Overall Score + Fantasy Points + Pro Pick'em + Pro Predictions + Bonus points

Shawn 391+70+121+(30)=
Adam 367+70+135+(30)=
Geiss 326+50+135+(10)
Joe 324+80+130+15+(20)
Folden 305+20+124+(70)=
Colin 302+80+132+15+(20)=
Rob 269+80+122+15+(15)=
Hale 268+50+109=
Jim 249+100+114+15=
Munez 244+60+124=
Gary 240+80+133+(20)=
Eplin 214+40+123+(10)=


Shawn 612
Adam 602
Joe 569
Colin 549
Geiss 521
Folden 519
Rob 501
Jim 478
Gary 473
Munez 428
Hale 427
Eplin 387


So, since last week, the changes are Geiss has jumped Folden from 6th to 5th.  Jim has jumped Gary from 9th to 8th.  Munez has jumped Hale from 11th to 10th.

That's it this week.  next week should have some division winners and other predictions to add in.

Friday, December 9, 2016

Quick Update

The college football awards were last night.  The only awards left to be issued are the coach of the year, Heisman trophy, and Lombardi award, which doesn't get announced until after the Superbowl.

In the meantime I wanted to give an updated Total College Football Score and overall.  It's pretty simple.  Geiss had Reuben Foster as the winner of the Butkis award, and he's the only one to get it.

Shawn 391
Adam 367
Geiss 326
Joe 324
Folden 305
Colin 302
Rob 269
Hale 268
Jim 249
Munez 244
Gary 240
Eplin 214

Total Overall

Shawn 603
Adam 584
Joe 544
colin 522
geiss 510
folden 509
rob 458
gary 461
jim 453
hale 420
munez 418
eplin 380





Tuesday, December 6, 2016

Big Mama Update 2

So, with the NFL Season now 3/4's of the way done.  Things are starting to clear up.

First things first, let's look at where we stand in the pro pick'em

Geiss has won the Week 14 bonus hands down.  Last 10 point bonus of the year.

Overall, there is finally a little bit of separation in the standings.

Geiss put up a blistering 14 out of 15 to jump back into the lead.  I was right behind with 13 out of 15.

Geiss now has a 2 point lead over Me.   Gary fell to 3 back, while Colin and Joe sit 4 back.

After that, Eplin is 8 back, Munez and Folden 10 back.

Unless someone gets really hot, this looks like a 5 person race for 3 places.

Realistically, everyone except Hale, Jim, and probably Rob can still make a move into the top 3, but they will need to go lights out the rest of the way.

Here are the current standings.


The playoffs are set!  Here are your week 13 results

Jim beat Eplin to finish the season 10-3 and earn the #1 seed in the playoffs and a bye.

Colin won and jumped from #4 to #2 to earn a bye.

Rob lost and fell to the #3 seed.

Gary won and jumped up to #4.

Joe lost and fell to the #5 seed.

Finally,  Shawn turned in a loss to finish 6th.

Here are you finalized playoff brackets

#1 Jim
Bye

#4 Gary
#5 Joe

#3 Rob
#6 Shawn

Bye
#2 Colin


Here are some thoughts on the non playoff teams:

Folden finished the season with 2 wins, both against Eplin, which is an odd way for a season to go.

Munez finished the season winning 4 of his final 6, but a bad 1 and 4 start ended up killing his playoff chances.

Injuries crushed Eplin's year, and although he was 4-5, he finished the season on a 4 game losinig streak.  He does have a win over Joe & Jim.  2 top teams, although he lost twice to Folden.

I went 7-3 after starting the year 0-3, but it was too little too late, and I'm tiebroken out of the playoffs.

Geiss put together a good comeback, after starting 1-4, he crawled back to .500, before hitting a big losing streak to end his season.

Hale played his season in streaks.  Starting with 3 losses, then 3 wins, then 4 losses.  He was a victim of some big points against early in the year, that crushed his chances.  He averaged 116 points a week in those weeks and lost every game.


Keep in mind the playoff points go as follows. 60 for 1st, 40 for 2nd, and 20 for 3rd.

SURVIVOR POOL

My 23 game winning streak ended the same place it started, with me picking the god damn New Orleans Saints.

I am now 24-0 in two years of Survivor Pool, when picking any other team but the Saints, and 0-2 when picking them

That puts Rob & I tied up at 1 strike a piece with 4 games to go.

PREDICTIONS

Safe to say the abomination that is the Carolina Panthers is officially out of the playoff race.  they are 3 games back in the wildcard with 4 to play and about 8 teams to pass.  Dunzo.

That effects the following people.

Super Bowl Winner:  Adam
Super Bowl Participant:  Adam, Joe, Gary
NFC Championship game loser:  Shawn and Eplin.

Additionally, everyone had them winning the South.  So no gains or losses there.  Other prediciton trends.

NE is near a lock to win the AFC East which benefits noone.

The AFC North & South are tied messes.

The West is looking like it'll probably be either Oakland or KC.   The Broncos are 2 games back with 4 to play.  The are also 1-3 in the division, meaning that they're unlikely to win a tiebreaker if their is a 3 game tie.

That would negatively effect Shawn, Hale, and Eplin.  If Oakland wins Geiss will be theoonly benefit of them winning the division.

The wildcard picture is still pretty muddled.  If the season ended today the wildcard winners would be Denver & KC.

Denver is 8-4, and Miami, Pittsburgh, and Baltimore are all 7-5, so you could safely say they still  are in the wildcard race too.

As of now the 6-6 teams are unlikely, and I can't see two teams coming out the South, and 10-6 might not even be good enough for a wildcard game.  So, as of now, it's still possible, but unlikely.

In the NFC this week was sort of a life raft game for a couple of teams.

Green Bay won their 2nd in a row to pull themselves to .500.  They are 9th in the Conference and 2 games behind the Lions.  But, they are only a game back in the wildcard standings.  While everyone had them winning their division, that doesn't benefit anyone.  However, 3 people have them in the Superbowl (Rob, Hale, and Munez).

The same could be said for Arizona, who beat a tough Washington team in what was pretty much an elimination game for them.  They sit 10th in the conference at 5-6-1.  1 1/2 games out of a playoff spot.  They are all but finished in the division race.

This hurts Joe, Munez, Colin, Eplin, and Gary who all had them winning the West.  Not technically out, but most likely.

If Arizona misses the playoffs this kills Folden, Voyten, Colin, and Eplin who all had them winning the SB. The best anyone is looking at this point, is Jim & Geiss who both had Pittsburgh & Seattle playing in the Superbowl.

Assuming Green Bay doesn't catch Detroit, it's likely only one of those two teams will make it into the playoffs.

Detroit has it's last relatively easy game of the year, with a Home date against the Bears.  But, then they play on the road against the NYG & Cowboys.

The Packers play a home game against Seattle this weekend.  If (big if) they can win that game, I wouldn't bet against them to end up playing Detroit in week 17 for the division.  Such a Packers thing to do.

The NFC Wildcard situation is still looking pretty good for most of us.  The only teams taht are out for anyone at this point are by virtue of the teams playing too well.  Dallas can clinch their division with another win or Giants loss, so that hurts Eplin.

The same for Joe, Munez, Colin, and Gary with Seattle.

As far as the first three draft picks go, here is where we stand:

Cleveland 0-12
San Francisco 1-11
Jacksonville 2-10
Chicago 3-9
New York Jets 3-9
Los Angeles 4-8
Carolina 4-8
Cincinnati 4-7-1

Those are the only teams that are realistically still in the running for the bottom 3.

As far as that prediction goes, noone has all 3 teams still available.  Most people have 2 teams still in the running with the exception of Munez, Hale, and Eplin.

Total Overall Standings

College Total Score + Fantasy Wins + Pro Pick'em + (Bonus)

Folden's score includes his 20 point bonus in the Survivor Pool.  Folden & Rob & I's score includes our 10 point bonus for making it past week 9.


Shawn 391+70+112+(30)
Adam 367+70+122+(25)
Joe 324+80+120+(20)
Folden 305+20+114+(70)
Colin 302+80+120+(20)
Geiss 301+50+124+(10)
Rob 269+80+109+(10)=
Hale 268+50+102=
Jim 249+100+104=
Munez 244+60+114=
Gary 240+80+121+(20)=
Eplin 214+40+116+(10)=


Shawn 603
Adam 584
Joe 544
Colin 522
Folden 509
Geiss 485
Rob 468
Gary 461
Jim 453
Hale 420
Munez 418
Eplin 380

Again, check your points.  I'm a man, but a fallible one.



Monday, December 5, 2016

Big Mama Update: Part 1

Here's Part 1of your 2 part mega update.

The college football regular season ended Saturday night, and surprise, there were no upsets.  I mean, Temple beat Navy.  But I'd hardly call a 3 point underdog an upset.

So what happened and how did it affect us all?

Final Four

Alabama
Clemson
Ohio St
Washington

So, who got what?  First off, nobody had Washington, in the final four, so let's just leave that be.  Every prediction mentioned in this article is worth 20 points.

Alabama - Predicted by everyone except Hale & Eplin.
Clemson- Prediction by everyone except Munez & Eplin.
Ohio State - Predicted by Jim, Joe, Munez, Rob, Geiss, & Hale.

Totals

Joe 60
Geiss 60
Jim 60
Rob 60
Adam 40
Voyten 40
Folden 40
Munez 40
Colin 40
Hale 40
Gary 40
Eplin 0

Yikes Eplin.

Conference Champions

To start off AAC & Big 10(14) were predicted right by nobody at all.  That leaves 8 conferences to score.

ACC Clemson:  Everyone but Eplin and Munez
SEC Alabama:  Everyone but Rob, Hale, and Eplin
Big 12 Oklahoma:  Everyone but Jim
Pac 12 Washington:  Predicted by Adam, Voyten, Joe, Munez, Hale
Sunbelt:  App St & Arkansas St:  Predicted by everyone but Adam, Jim, and Gary
MAC Western Michigan:  Predictged by everyone but Geiss, Munez, and Gary.
Confernece USA Western Kentucky:  Predicted by Adam, Rob, and Hale.
MWC San Diego St:  Predicted by Adam, Voyten, Colin, Geiss, and Eplin

Here's the total points earned for those. 20 points a piece.

Adam 140
Shawn 140
Hale 120
Joe 120
Colin 120
Geiss 100
Rob 100
Folden 100
Jim 80
Munez 80
Eplin 80
Gary 60

Additional Predictions.

Nobody's team outside of the top 25 finished inside the top 25, except Munez.  but his team started the season at #25 so obviously that doesn't count.

Everyone but Munez, Rob, and Hale's top 10 team finished outside of the top 25, with everyone else having Notre Dame and Tennessee

Adding those all up the tally is as follows.

Shawn 200
Adam 200
Joe 200
Geiss 180
Colin 180
Folden 160
Rob 160
Hale 160
Jim 140
Munez 120
Gary 120
Eplin 100.

Credit to Eplin, who missed all 4 of the final 4 and 4 of the power 5 conference champions.  And, I do mean credit, because he was able to make up a lot fo points in the smaller conferences, so what was obviously a bad round of predictions for him could have been much worse.

COLLEGE PICK'EM

The College pick'em finished up this weekend.

Credit to Munez for picking agians the grain enough to end make up 2 points on Folden.  However, it was 1 pick too little.  Folden finished in 3rd with 125, 2nd was me with 127.  Winner and Champ was shawn with 131.

The bonus points for this go 60 1st, 40 2nd, 20 3rd.  Adding the college pick'em scores and bonus together looks like this.

Shawn 191
Adam 167
Folden 145
Munez 124
Joe 124
Colin 122
Geiss 121
Gary 120
Eplin 114
Jim 109
Rob 109
Hale 108

Adding the two numbers togehter brings us to your our Total College Football Score:

Shawn 391
Adam 367
Joe 324
Folden 305
Colin 302
Geiss 301
Rob 269
Hale 268
Jim 249
Munez 244
Gary 240
Eplin 214

This number is important because this is the number that's going to be used in the total scoring from now on.  Obviously.  The number can still change.  Where can you still score?  Here are the available predictions.

National Championship:  Available to everyone except Hale & Eplin.
Runner Up:  Available to Jim, Joe, and Rob
Heisman Trophy & Coach of the year:  Still technically available to everyone.  Finalists not announced.
Doak Walker award:  Available to me, Folden, Shawn.
Bednarik.  Available to Adam, Shawn, Folden, Joe, Hale, Gary, Eplin.
Thorpe Award: Available to Folden
Butkis: Available to Geiss
Maxwell:  Available to Folden & Joe.

Also:  Bowl Pick'em results.  The scoring in those will give 2 points to each smaller bowl game.  5 points for each new years 6 bowl.  and 10 points for the national championship.

The person who predicts the most games will get a bonus
1. 30 points.
2. 20 points.
3. 10 points.

Other than that, we move onto the NFL.



Tuesday, November 29, 2016

The Calm Before the Storm

Whats up losers.  Here we sit, one week away from the end of the college football regular season and our first massive update of the year.

I missed last week due to the short week, but I'm back with power and pain today.

PICK'EMS

Quick note, Shawn won the bonus in the pick'em last week with 25 correct predictions.  That's Shawn's 3rd win out of 4 weeks for bonus points.

This week was Folden winning for the 4th time this season.

Overall, we're going to see some bonus points paid out next week.  Shawn has a 3 game lead over me, and a 7 game lead over Folden at 3rd place.

It's pretty safe to say that Shawn is good for either 1st or 2nd in the college pick'em, with either 60 or 40 points going his way.

I'm at 126, Folden 122, Joe and Colin 121, and Munez 119.

There are only 8 games on the slate this week, so there isn't a ton of room to make moves.

Pro Pick'em continues to be tight.

Gary has a 1 point lead over Geiss, 2 over me and Joe, and 3 over Colin.  Eplin had a particularly bad week falling from a share of the lead to 5 back and in 6th place in the overall pick'em.

This is the last week of the 10 point bonus.  After this we will have 5 points the rest of the way out.

SURVIVOR POOL

Ah, the game that never ends.  Week 11 brought us another victim as Folden took KC and lost. Folden gets 20 points for coming in 3rd.  That brought Rob and I to week 12 as the only people left in the league.  I took the NYG and he took the Saints, both of us surviving.

That puts him with 1 strike going into week 13, and me with no strikes riding a 23 game survivor streak going back to last year.

COLLEGE PREDICTIONS

So, we aren't going to get into any pro predictions this week, but we will talk about a couple of College Predictions.

Appalachian State has won at least a share of the Sun Belt, which earns 20 points for Folden, Joe, Munez, Colin, Rob, Hale, and Eplin.  If Arkansas St wins this weekend they will earn a share as well for Shawn and Geiss.

Gary, Jim, and I are out of that conference. Arkansas St also plays Texas St who is 2-9 on the year, so ya know...Figure it out.

Additionally, Tennessee & Notre Dame are looking like locks to finish out of the Ap top 25.

This will give 20 points to Me, Jim, Shawn, Folden, Joe, Colin, Geiss, Eplin, and Gary.

As of now, none of our unranked teams we picked to finish in the Top 25 are in the top 25.  Boise St is knocking on the door, which would give 20 points to Shawn, Folden, Rob, and Hale.  But, with them being off this week, it may be difficult.

The Conference Championships are this week and this what the schedule looks like

De Facto Big 12 Championship Game
Oklahoma Vs Oklahoma St

Oklahoma winning would keep them alive for a chance at a playoff appearance, which helps a lot of people.  Also, a win would give everyone 20 points but Jim for the Big 12 championship.

PAC 12 Championship
Colorado vs Washington

A win for Washington would give Pac 12 points to Me, Shawn, Joe, Munez, and Hale.  A loss helps everyone else out.  Noone had Colorado or Washington in the playoff

Big 10 Championship Game
Wisconsin vs Penn St

Everyone had either Michigan or Ohio State winning the Conference.  So, noone will get Big 10 points this year.

SEC Championship Game
Alabama Vs Florida

Alabama is favored by like 25 points, so it could be a blow out.  Eplin, Hale, and Rob are the only people to not have Alabama winning this Conference.

ACC Championship
Clemson vs Va Tech

Munez and Eplin were the only two to keep Clemson out of the ACC Championship, everyone else will get point if Clemson wins.

MAC Championship
Western Michigan vs Ohio

9 people had Western Michigan winning the MAC.  Munez and Gary had Ohio.  Geiss had Bowling Green and is the only person without a chance.

Conference USA

Western Kentucky VS Louisiana Tech

Many people had Southern Miss and Marshall.  Rob, Hale and I had Western Kentucky.

Mountain West

San Diego St vs Wyoming

Me, Shawn, Colin, Geiss, and Eplin have a shot with San Diego St this weekend.   Everyone else had Boise and are out of it.

Most of the College Football Awards finalist have been released, except the Heisman and Lombardi award.  As usual, most of our predictions have lost, but there are a couple dangling out there

Doak Walker, Dalvin Cook, picked by Me, Shawn, and Folden.

Thorpe Award, Tre'Davio White, picked by Folden.

Butkis Award:  Rueben Foster, picked by Geiss

Maxwell Award: Baker Mayfield picked by Joe and Folden.

No word yet on the AP Coach of the year, Lombardi or Heisman finialists.


FANTASY FOOTBALL

Here are the current standings with 1 week to go.

*1. Jim 9-3
*2. Rob 8-4
*3. Jim 8-4
4. Colin 7-5
5.  Shawn 7-5
6. Gary 7-6
7. Adam 6-6
8. Hale 5-7
9. Munez 5-7
10.  Geiss 4-8
11. Eplin 4-8
12. Folden 2-10


Jim, Rob, and Joe are clinched for sure.  They are playing for 1st round BYE in playoffs.

Shawn and Colin are locks as well.  All they'll have to do is basically field a lineup and they would win.

Gary's 6 seed is the only one up for grabs.  It breaks down like this.  If Gary wins he's in.

If Gary loses, I win, and I outscore Gary by 52 points, I'm in.  So Gary's about a 98% sure thing as well.

Week 13 matchups:

Jim 9-3 vs Eplin 4-8
Jim locks up a first round bye with a win.

Gary 7-5 vs Hale 5-7
Gary needs a win or a general strong showing.

Rob 8-4 vs Geiss 4-8
A win pretty much locks up a Bye for Rob

Joe 8-4 vs Munez 5-7
Joe needs a win and a little help for a Bye week.

Colin 7-5 vs Folden 2-10
Colin is a lock for playoffs and can still get a Bye with a win, and a Rob and Joe loss in which Rob doesn't outscore Colin by more than 30 points.

Adam 6-6 vs Shawn 7-5.  This is the only game of two teams at .500 or better so let's go ahead and call it the game of the week.  Shawn can get a bye with a win and a Rob, Joe, and Colin loss.  or by outscoring Colin by 40 points.
I need to win and to get help from Gary.


Total Points

This is going to be our last update before things get wild, so let's get a point update

Fantasy wins + Pro pick'em + college pick'em + (pick'em bonus) + [Survivor Pool] + Predictions

Folden will have his 20 points in the survivor pool added in here.  All three of us will have our 10 point bonus for making past week 9.  This also won't have any of the predictions added in.  Will wait til next week and go from there.

Jim+90+93+105+40+20
Rob 80+100+108+[10]+20
Joe 80+109+121+(20)+40
Colin 70+108+121+(20)+40
Shawn 70+103+129+(30)+20
Gary 70+111+116+(20)+20
Adam 60+109+126+(15)+[10]+20
Hale 50+92+105+20
Munez 50+103+119+20
Geiss 40+110+117+20
Eplin 40+106+112+(10)+40
Folden 20+104+122+(40)+[30]+40


1 Joe 370
2. Colin 359
3. Folden 356
4. Shawn 352
5. Adam 340
6 Gary 337
7 Rob 318
8 Jim 308
8 Eplin 308
10 Munez 292
11 Geiss 287
12 Hale 267


A couple of notes.  These points are really indictitive of the standings as much as they are just a total of what has been earned.  Some people got 20 points for winning the Sunbelt, while Geiss & Shawn didn't, but could easily have it next week.

Folden's point total includes his survivor 3rd place, while Rob & mine doesn't include ours, although at the least we will have 40 more points.

Also, the college predictions are coming through next week.

There are a total of 320 potential College prediction points that will be finalized next week.
There is a 60, 40, & 20 point college pick'em bonus that will be resolved next week.
There is a 60 and 40 point survivor pool bonus that could be issued out any week now.

And that doesn't include anything with the NFL that's going to start and resolve in the next couple of weeks.

So...the point is.  Noone is safe, noone is behind.  The 2nd half of Football God IX starts next Monday.

Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Update City

Here's an update of the events that recently transpired in our pathetic fantasy lives.

SURVIVOR POOL

So, Folden & I took Baltimore over Cleveland.  Rob took Arizona over San Francisco.  Steady as she goes.   No loses or any changes.

PICK'EMS

Pro Pick'em

Geiss has maintained his lead in the pick'em, and things remain close.

Eplin & Rob led the way with 8 correct a piece.

Overall, Geiss has a 2 point lead over Gary, and a 4 point lead over Eplin, Joe, and myself.

College Pick'em

I have maintained my lead over the field, but not without letting things get super close.  Shawn crushed the pick'em with 14, Joe with 13, Hale with 12, and four people at 11.  I was back at 9 letting the field close in.  

There are only 3 weeks left in the college pick'em so make your moves boys.

Overall, I have a 3 game lead over Shawn and Colin and a 4 game lead over Joe.  Gary is 7 back.

Shawn won the bonus with 20 correct predictions.

FANTASY FOOTBALL

Lots to report on this front, but let's start with last week's results.

Gary took a garbage time Antonio Brown to top Colin.

Rob pounded Folden, leading to Folden's 9th straight loss.

Munez beat up Eplin to stay alive.

Joe put up a huge number beating Shawn.

Jim continued cruizing, beating Geiss.

I squeaked by Hale, making him 3-7 on the season, eliminating him from the playoff race.

So, WHERE DO WE STAND.

Current Playoff Standings

1. Jim
BYE

4. Shawn
5. Gary

3. Colin
6. Joe

BYE
2. Rob

Three weeks to go.

1.  Jim is all but mathematically into the palyoffs.  He's 8-2 with a 3 game lead on the playoffs with 3 to play.

Playoff chances 99.5% (none of these percentages are actually math based).

2.  Rob is 7-3, with a high point total.  Only losing out and losing a tie breaker would keep him out.

Playoff chances 97%

3 & 4 Colin & Shawn.  They are both 6-4 with 1183 & 1187 points scored.  That's 100 points higher than anyone that could test them.  One win should net them a playoff spot.  Losing out would make it tough.  As long as they're team doesn't start putting up like 60 point games, tie breakers shouldn't be an issue.

Playoff Chances 75%

5.  Gary is 6-4 with a good point total.  His situation is similar to Colin & Shawn but with 80 less points scored he is more susceptible to someone overtaking him

Playoff chances 64%

6.  Joe is 6-4 but has only outscored me by 12 points, meaning a tie breaker between he and I is very much up in the air.  He does have a game up on the playoffs, so he's still trending in the right direction.  He has a tough road down the stretch though.

Playoff Chances 57%

7. Adam -  I'm 5-5 with 3 games to play.  I'm close to Joe, as mentioned before, and have a decent schedule in my favor.  I'm 5-2 in my last 7 games, but sit a game back

Playoff Chances 41%

8.  Geiss - Geiss is 4-6 and needs some help to get into the playoffs.  He's certainly able to help himself out, with games against Shawn & Gary remaining.  He's going to need to win out and get some help.  But he could still take a tie breaker away from many people if his team shows up.

Playoff Chances 20%

9 and 10.  Munez & Eplin are in different situations.  With lower point totals they are going to need to win out & hope that a lot of teams in front of them lose.  Gary & Joe play each other next week, meaning one of them will lose.  If Eplin can beat me, and Munez wins they would each be 1 game back of the last playoff spot with 2 games to play.  They basically would need to win out, hope that Gary, Joe, Shawn, or Colin loses out, and that I go 1-2.

Playoff Chances 2%

11. Hale has lost 4 in a row and needs a miracle to sneak in.  Based on the schedule that's left I'm not even sure if it's possible, but I'm not sure.

Playoff Chances 0.1%

12. Folden

Playoff Chances:  Yahoo clitch that changes all of our records, and Yahoo refuses to acknowledge or change anything.

WEEK 11 SCHEDULE

Jim 8-2 vs Hale 3-7

This game has a lot less impact that most of the other ones so it'll be covered first.  Jim's pretty much just working on a bye now.  Jim can officially clinch a playoff spot with a win or another loss from me.

Hale needs the aforementioned miracle to get into the playoffs, but there are still 10 points in the overeall standings up for grabs.

Munez 4-6 vs Folden 1-9

Munez needs a win to stay in it.  Folden needs a good soak.

Adam 5-5 vs Eplin 4-6

This game has a lot of impact on the standings next week.  A loss for me sure's up the playoffs for a lot of people.  Me losing could mean a clinched spot for Rob & Jim.  Eplin needs to win to stay in it.  I need to win to not be on skid row.

Geiss 4-6 vs Shawn 6-4

This game works as an elimination game for Geiss as well.  Geiss's best player is on bye, and so is Shawn's.  They are both riding 2 game losing streaks, and one will get on the right track.

Rob 7-3 vs Colin 6-4

The last thing Colin needs is another loss.  Although he looks great for the playoffs now, he looked better last week.  And, another loss would decrease those chances again.  Rob can punch his ticket with a win and an Adam loss.

GAME OF THE WEEK

Joe 6-4 vs Gary 6-4

Man, who else could it be?  The 5 & 6 seed playing each other.  The result of which puts one in the drivers seat for the playoffs and the other one potentially on the outside looking in.  A lot at stake for these two teams this week.

That's it.  Make sure you guys all say your prayers & take your vitamins.  What ya gonna do?  When Hulkamania runs wild on you.

Monday, November 14, 2016

Prediction Heavy Update

Another week in the books.  And finally, a little clarity is starting to come out of some of the predictions.  We'll start with the NFL.

There isn't much to take off yet.  But a couple of things have become clear.

The Jacksonville Jaguars aren't going anywhere but down this year.  They are twink bottom's, and the rest of the NFL are their power tops.  That leads to a red out for me, having them win the division.  Also, for Jim and Voyten for having them in the wildcard.

Of course none of this is mathematical yet, but the writing's on the wall.

This can also be said about the lowly, Bryce (rather it be Tom) Petty starting at QB.

Nothing else really looks all that clear except for the Top three picks in 2017 draft category.

Basically, anyone that is 5-4 or better I marked out of this category.

So, Detroit, Phili, Miami, Oakland, Tennesee, and Dallas were all marked out.

This is one each for everyone, 2 out for Hale, and none marked out for Geiss & Rob.

Individual award are a little diffrent.  The rushing title is Elliott's to lose, and Folden was the only person to pick him.  Colin has David Johnson, who is about 300 yards behind him, but we'll leave him as a possible at the moment.

Receving yards leader - 11 of the 12 of us had Antonio Brown, with Eplin choosing Julio Jones.  Julio has a good lead over the next closest Brown is almost 300 yars back.

Our sacks leader category.  Everyone is still in it but Voyten, Munez, Rob, and Hale who all chose J.J Watt.

Intereceptions leader- Four people had Marcus Peters who is tied for the lead league with 5.  The other 6 people who were chosen for this award have a combined 7 interceptions.  So, do with that what you will.  Earl Thomas and Patrick Peterson have 2 each, so I suppose if they get hot they can make it to the leaderboard.

That's about it for the NFL this week.

COLLEGE PREDICTIONS

So, College went a little crazy this weekend.  So crazy, in fact, that not that much changed.  8 top 25 teams lost, and 5 in the top 10.  So when the dust settled nobody had vastly improved or fallen back.

If anything, it opened the door for teams like Oklahoma to maybe squeeze their way in.  So, we'll just leave the Playoff alone right now.  Let it play itself out.

As far as the conference champions go.

AAC.

This conference we all have Houston, so although it's starting to look like the may lose it.  It's irrelevant for our purposes.

ACC

If Clemson beats wake forest they are in the championship game.  Good for the 10 people who picked them to win the ACC, bad for the 2 that didn't.

Big 12 is similar.  Oklahoma wins it if they beat WVU and Oklahoma State.  Oklahoma State gets it if they win out.  WVU wins it if they beat Oklahoma and Oklahoma beats OK State.

Only person this matters for is Jim, who was the only one who took TCU instead of Oklahoma.  So he would be rooting against Oklahoma.  Irrelevant for the rest of us.

The Big 10 is a bit more crazy.  We all took Michigan or Ohio State. And Shawn took Iowa.  If Michigan wins out, then they are in the conference championship.  If Penn St wins out and Ohio st wins out, then Penn St is in the conference championship.  If Penn St loses and Ohio St wins out they are in the conference championship.  Gun in mouth.

Conference USA's championship game is going to be between Louisiana Tech and either Old ODominion and Western Kentucky.  Most likely Western Kentucky.  Rob, Hale, and I were the only ones to take Western Kentucky.  Noone else took the other 2 schools.  Lots of Southern Miss down the shitter.

MAC - the MAC is shaping up to be between Western Michigan & Ohio.  Geiss being the only person to not choose one of those schools is the only one that's out.

MWC - This one is a little bit more muddled.  San Diego St has won their side of the conference. Wyoming was in the driver's seat but lost to UNLV this weekend.  That puts them, Boise, and New Mexico all at the top of their bracket.  If Wyoming wins out they will play in the conference championship, but they play 2 tough games against SDSU & New Mexico.  So, this may be Boise State's conference still.

We all had either Boise or SDSU.

PAC 12 - Most people took Stanford.  But, Hale, Munez, Joe, Voyten, and I took Washington.  If Washington beats Arizona St and Washington State they are in the Conference Championship,.  If not they aren't.  That simple.

The SEC is between Florida & Alabama. That's it there.


The God Loving Sun Belt - Gary, Jim, and I have already been eliminated in this conference.  Everyone else has Arkansas St or App St.  Arkansas St and Troy are still in this one, and play each other this weekend to see who has the lead.  Applachian St needs to win out and get some help.

So that's it.  Will do a short fantasy, pick'em, survivor pool update tomorrow.